Trade Strategy 7.15.25

Posted on by July 15, 2025

S&P 500 (ES)

Prior Session was Cycle Day 3: Positive 3-Day Cycle as price secured a rally above the CD1 Low (6287.50) which has an 90.91% historical performance track history.

Positive 3-Day Cycle Statistic is defined as Price Above the Cycle Day 1 Low on Cycle Day 3. P > CD1 on CD3.

RTH opening dip held above this session’s 6275 Line in the Sand (LIS) with fulfillment of the initial upper target zone between 6290 – 6295 where significant volume cluster developed. As PTG always states: “Volume Validates Target Zones”

Price pushed above this zone grinding higher throughout the day topping out on the 6315 handle retest. Range for this session was 55 handles on anemic 878k contracts exchanged.

 For a more detailed recap of the trading session, click on this link: Trading Room RECAP 7.14.25

PTG Glossary

FREE TRIAL link to PTG/Taylor Three Day Cycle

 

…Transition from Cycle Day 3 to Cycle Day 1

Transition into Cycle Day 1: Today begins a new cycle with the average decline projection measuring 6277 (Recap) and 6251 (Recap-MA).

BIG Event for today’s trading is the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report @ 8:30 et. (see below for Forecast Consensus Summary)

Markets remain in rangebound consolidation rhythms until there is new evidence to tilt the balanced scales directionally. Perhaps the CPI report will be a possible catalyst. Stay tuned!

📊 Forecast Summary

Measure Monthly Change (May → June) Year-over-Year Change (June 2025 vs. June 2024)
Headline CPI +0.25% to +0.30% +2.6% to +2.7%
Core CPI (ex‑food & energy) ≈ +0.24% m/m ≈ +3.0% y/y

🔍 Forecast Breakdown

🧾 Bottom Line

  • Headline CPI (June): +0.25% to +0.30% m/m → ~2.6%–2.7% y/y

  • Core CPI: ~3.0% y/y

Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.

PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.

As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading. 

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 6300+-, initially targets 6325 – 6330 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 6300+-, initially targets 6290– 6275 zone.

PVA High Edge = 6314    PVA Low Edge = 6292         Prior POC = 6302

   ESU 

Nasdaq (NQ)

Prior Session was Cycle Day 3: Positive 3-Day Cycle as price secured a rally above the CD1 Low (22901.25) which has an 90.84% historical performance track history. Range for this session was 263 handles on 408k contracts exchanged.

 

…Transition from Cycle Day 3 to Cycle Day 1

Transition into Cycle Day 1: Today begins a new cycle with the average decline projection measuring 22931 (Recap) and 22782 (Recap-MA).

Markets are waiting for significant information from which a directional bias can be formulated to break the current multi-day consolidation log-jam.  Perhaps the CPI will offer a catalyst for today’s session.

Corporate earnings will also come into view in the coming days which typically acts as an influence on trade activity. Traders are clamoring for something “meaty’ given sub-par summertime volumes and volatility.

Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.

PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.

As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading. 

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 23000+-, initially targets 23110– 23150 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 23000+-, initially targets 22935 – 22865 zone.

PVA High Edge = 23063     PVA Low Edge = 22923         Prior POC = 23000

NQU

Economic Calendar

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –BR

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN

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