Trade Strategy 8.13.25

S&P 500 (ES)

Prior Session was Cycle Day 3: Positive 3-Day Cycle as price secured a rally above the CD1 Low (6369.50) which has a 91.37% historical performance track history. This cycle rally propelled 135.62% (100.75pts) of the normal 74.29 average cycle range.

Positive 3-Day Cycle Statistic is defined as Price Above the Cycle Day 1 Low on Cycle Day 3. P > CD1 on CD3.

Soft (better than) CPI Report instilled a sense of “relief” to traders, which gave them the greenlight signal to continue buying, which propelled price to exceed all Cycle Day 3 targets as posted in the PTG Live Trading Room.

Range for this session was 78 handles on 1.220M contracts exchanged.

 For a more detailed recap of the trading session, click on this link: Trading Room RECAP 8.12.25

PTG Glossary

FREE TRIAL link to PTG/Taylor Three Day Cycle

 

Transition from Cycle Day 3 to Cycle Day 1

Transition into Cycle Day 1: Today begins a new cycle with the average decline projection measuring 6432 (Recap) and 6418 (Recap-MA).

Markets closed near their respective highs on strong outgoing momentum, which may “spill-over” into today’s action before the next decline unfolds.

Price is on the cusp of new all-time highs, so unless there is an outside force greater than the current inertial momentum, continuation is the expected outcome.


Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.

PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.

As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading. 

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 6460+-, initially targets 6480 – 6485 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 6460+-, initially targets 6445– 6440 zone.

PVA High Edge = 6470    PVA Low Edge = 6430         Prior POC = 6468

   ESU 

Nasdaq (NQ)

Prior Session was Cycle Day 3: Positive 3-Day Cycle as price secured a rally above the CD1 Low (23503) which has a 91.37% historical performance track history. Range for this session was 357 handles on 480k contracts exchanged.

 

Transition from Cycle Day 3 to Cycle Day 1

Transition into Cycle Day 1: Today begins a new cycle with the average decline projection measuring 23818 (Recap) and 23717 (Recap-MA).

Having notched an new all-time high and closed near the high, momentum is likely to “spill-over” into today’s session before the next decline gets some traction.

So continue to focus on your best playbook setup structures and mange $risk aggressively.


Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.

PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.

As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading. 

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 23915+-, initially targets 24000– 24050 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 23915+-, initially targets 23850 – 23805 zone.

PVA High Edge = 23946     PVA Low Edge = 23741         Prior POC = 23911

NQU

Economic Calendar

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –BR

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN

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