Markets
With the Fed still divided over its next move, investors will be looking to the ECB today for some clarity. The central bank will release minutes of its July policy meeting at 8:30 a.m. ET, which should offer clues on how it expects the Brexit vote to affect the eurozone and the extent to which officials are worrying about regional banking problems. Other details might suggest how the ECB would react to any Brexit-related economic fallout.
In Asia, Japan -1.6% to 16486. Hong Kong +1% to 23023. China -0.2% to 3104. India +0.4% to 28123.
In Europe, at midday, London flat. Paris +0.1%. Frankfurt +0.5%.
Futures at 6:20, Dow flat. S&P flat. Nasdaq -0.1%. Crude +0.3% to $47.64. Gold +0.4% to $1354.50.
Ten-year Treasury Yield -1 bps to 1.55%
(Source: Seeking Alpha)
Economic Calendar
8:30 Initial Jobless Claims
8:30 Philly Fed Business Outlook
9:45 Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index
10:00 Fed’s Dudley Speech
10:00 Leading Indicators
10:30 EIA Natural Gas Inventory
4:00 PM Fed’s Williams: Economic Outlook
4:30 PM Money Supply
4:30 PM Fed Balance Sheet
PTG Trading
Cycle High (2090) which was established on CD1 where the decline began continued into both CD2 and CD3 in prior sessions testing 2168 key support marker. Subsequent bounce has reached back above 2180.50 prior Cycle Low as objective in overnight trade session.
Today begins new Cycle Day 1 (CD1)…Normal is for decline to develop…Current trade structure is supportive of this decline scenario today, as long as 2185 handle is NOT converted. Downside has potential to retest 2165.50 prior low.
Range Projections and Key Levels: Sept (U) Contract
HOD Range Projection: 2184.75; LOD Range Projection: 2169.75; Cycle Day 1 Low: 2180.50; 3 Day Central Pivot: 2180.50; 3 Day Cycle Target: 2205.00; 10 Day Average True Range: 12.00
**Note: The odds highlighted are NOT predictions or trade recommendations, rather a guide based upon historical observed occurrences.
Today’s Hypotheses: September (U) Contract
*****The levels outlined below are more general framework within a larger range…They are to be used are reference prices from which to consider trade opportunities, not hard trade levels.
Scenario 1: Bullish case needs to have price hold above 2173 handle…Should this occur, upside objective is to convert 2183 – 2185 zone to support.
Scenario 2: Bearish case keeps selling pressure below 2183 handle…Further conversion of 2173 handle to lower resistance increases pressure on bulls to respond. Failure to respond adequately opens door to retest prior lows.
Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.
Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined ALWAYS USE STOPS!
Good Trading…David
“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee
*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”
PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS
IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone. Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose. This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.
CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN