Markets
Source: SeekingAlpha.com
Economic Calendar
9:45 PMI Composite Flash
10:00 Existing Home Sales
\https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/
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S&P 500
Prior Session was Cycle Day 3 (CD3): Price fulfilled 3 Day Cycle Statistic as well as Cycle Objective. Range to end the week on a strong note. Prior Range was 68.75 handles on 1.210M contracts exchanged.
…Transition from Cycle Day 3 to Cycle Day 1
This leads us into Cycle Day 1 (CD1): Average Decline for CD1 measures 4412. Overnight price is ticking higher above PH (4440.50) and has fulfilled CD1 Penetration Level (4451.50). As such, estimated scenarios to consider for today’s trading.
1.) Price sustains a bid above 4440, initially targets 4452 – 4457 zone.
2.) Price sustains an offer below 4440, initially targets 4430 – 4425 zone.
*****3 Day Cycle has a 91% probability of fulfilling Positive Cycle Statistics covering 12 years of recorded tracking history.
PVA High Edge = 4440 PVA Low Edge = 4413 Prior POC = 4438
Range Projections and Key Levels (ES) Sept 2021 (U) Contract
HOD ATR Range Projection: 4478; LOD ATR Range Projection: 4422; 3 Day Central Pivot: 4404; 3 Day Cycle Target: 4468; 10 Day Average True Range 33; VIX: 18.50
Nasdaq 100 (NQ)
Today is Cycle Day 1 (CD1)…Average Decline for CD1 measures 15019. Prior Range was 249 handles on 484k contracts exchanged. As such, there are two estimated scenarios to consider for today’s trading.
PVA High Edge = 15098 PVA Low Edge = 15004 Prior POC = 15065
Bull Scenario: IF Bulls sustain a bid above 15100, THEN initial upside estimate targets 15130 – 15150 zone.
Bear Scenario: IF Bears sustain an offer below 15100, THEN initial downside estimate targets 15065 – 15055 zone.
Range Projections and Key Levels (NQ) Sept 2021 (U) Contract
HOD ATR Range Projection: 15254; LOD ATR Range Projection: 14986; 3 Day Central Pivot: 14930; 3 Day Cycle Target: 15301; 10 Day Average True Range: 167; VIX: 18.50
Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.
Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined ALWAYS USE STOPS!
Good Trading…David
“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee
*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”
PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS
IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.
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