In Europe, at midday, London +0.3%. Paris +0.5%. Frankfurt -0.2%.
Futures at 6:20, Dow flat. S&P -0.1%. Nasdaq flat. Crude +0.3% to $49.76. Gold -0.7% to $1269.10.
Ten-year Treasury Yield flat at 2.26%
Economic Calendar
7:30 Challenger Job-Cut Report
8:30 Initial Jobless Claims
8:30 Gallup Good Jobs Rate
9:45 Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index
9:45 PMI Services Index
10:00 ISM Non-Manufacturing Index
10:00 Factory Orders
10:30 EIA Natural Gas Inventory
4:30 Money Supply
4:30 Fed Balance Sheet
PTG Trading
S&P e-mini (ES) Cycle Day 1 downside objective (2463) was achieved, then the rally began, rising 10 handles closing the day at 2473.50. Naz (NQ) gapped higher on Apple earnings and sharply reversed lower to reach CD1 range violation levels before again, sharply reversing higher early afternoon session to settle in top half of day’s range.
Today is Cycle Day 2 (CD2)…There is room for rally to continue, though some back n fill would be expected as 2474 remains a stubborn obstacle for the bulls to overcome. Downside break of 2466 handle would turn sort-term sentiment more bearish.
STAY NIMBLE and ALWAYS USE PROTECTIVE STOPS.
Range Projections and Key Levels
HOD ATR Range Projection: 2478.40; LOD ATR Range Projection: 2463.10; Cycle Day 1 Low: 2463.25; 3 Day Central Pivot: 2471.00; 3 Day Cycle Target: 2481.50; 10 Day Average True Range: 10.65
**Note: The odds highlighted are NOT predictions or trade recommendations, rather a guide based upon historical observed occurrences.
Today’s Hypotheses: September 2017 (U) Contract
*****The levels outlined below are more general framework within a larger range…They are to be used are reference prices from which to consider trade opportunities, not hard trade levels.
Scenario 1: IF 2474 is cleared and converted, THEN upside potential initially to 2478, followed by 2481 – 83 zone.
Scenario 2: IF 2469 is violated and converted, THEN this is an initial sign of weakness. Further violation of 2466 handle opens trap door for bears to push down to retest 2463.25 (CD1 Low). Break of this low projects 2459.50 – 2456.50 – 2451.25.
Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.
Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined ALWAYS USE STOPS!
Good Trading…David
“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee
*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”
PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS
IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.
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