Trade Strategy 9.14.23

Markets (Top Stories)

Source: SeekingAlpha.com

Economic Calendar

https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/

S&P 500

Prior Session was Cycle Day 2 (CD2): Normal CD2 as price consolidated within 4500 – 4530 sandbox zone. Prior range was 35 handles on 1.332M contracts exchanged. 

 …Transition from Cycle Day 2 to Cycle Day 3

This leads us into Cycle Day 3 (CD3): Positive 3-day statistic will be fulfilled as long as price trades above 4507.25 during RTH. Producer Price Index (PPI) is released today as traders continue to consolidate price within a 50 handle range. Triple Option Expiration is on deck for Friday’s trade and Contract Rollover ends. Perhaps price then can break the current log-jam. Until then, we remain patient and focused on only the highest quality trade opportunities as there is no margin for error. As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading.

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 4520, initially targets 4540 – 4545 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 4520, initially targets 4505 – 4500 zone.

PVA High Edge = 4528       PVA Low Edge = 4513         Prior POC = 4522

Range Projections and Key Levels (ES) December 2023 (Z) Contract

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 4555; LOD ATR Range Projection: 4488; 3 Day Central Pivot: 4522; 3 Day Cycle Target: 4563; 10 Day Average True Range  36; VIX: 13

Nasdaq 100 (NQ)

Prior Session was Cycle Day 2 (CD2): Normal CD2 as price consolidated within 15450 – 15600 sandbox zone. Prior range was 213 handles on 687k contracts exchanged. 

 …Transition from Cycle Day 2 to Cycle Day 3

This leads us into Cycle Day 3 (CD3): Positive 3-day statistic will be fulfilled as long as price trades above 15483.75 during RTH. Producer Price Index (PPI) is released today as traders continue to consolidate price within a 150 handle range. Triple Option Expiration is on deck for Friday’s trade and Contract Rollover ends. Perhaps price then can break the current log-jam. Until then, we remain patient and focused on only the highest quality trade opportunities as there is no margin for error. As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading.

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 15555, initially targets 15655 – 15675 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 15555, initially targets 15500 – 15480 zone.

PVA High Edge = 15596       PVA Low Edge = 15503     Prior POC = 15545

Range Projections and Key Levels (NQ) December 2023 (Z) Contract

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 15757; LOD ATR Range Projection: 15392; 3 Day Central Pivot: 15570; 3 Day Cycle Target: 15775; 10 Day Average True Range: 193; VIX: 13

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN

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