Trade Strategy 9.19.25

S&P 500 (ES)

Prior Session was Cycle Day 3: Positive Three-Day Cycle as this rally continues to extend, notching new All-Time Highs.

Recall early monthly inflows exceeded $20B for market on close buy imbalances. PTG has always advocated paying attention to the trend of capital inflows as it is perhaps the best single metric for future prices.

Daily new ATH’s reminds me of the Aerosmith song: Train Kept a Rollin’ …Play it LOUD! and OFTEN!

Range for this session was 48 handles on 1.092 contracts exchanged.

For a more detailed recap of the trading session, click on this link: Trading Room RECAP 9.18.25

PTG Glossary

FREE TRIAL link to PTG/Taylor Three Day Cycle

 

Transition from Cycle Day 3 to Cycle Day 1

Transition into Cycle Day 1: Today begins a new cycle with the average decline projection zone between (6682) and (6677).

Markets closed near their ATH’s with a bid, so momentum may spill-over into today’s session before the next decline unfolds.

We’ll mark 6700 roundie as today’s Line in the Sand (LIS) with the initial reference pullback support @ 6690 handle.

Value also continues to migrate higher giving validating support to the long thesis. Until there is a fracture break in the underlying structure, buying the dip has been the payday.

Keep in Mind (KIM)…Today is also Options Expiry (OPEX) and CAPITAL PRESERVATION DAY!

Trade accordingly.


Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.

PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.

As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading. 

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 6700+-, initially targets 6715 – 6720 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 6700+-, initially targets 6685– 6680 zone.

PVA High Edge = 6708    PVA Low Edge = 6692         Prior POC = 6697

   ESU 

Nasdaq (NQ)

Prior Session was Cycle Day 3: Positive Three-Day Cycle as this rally continues to extend, notching new All-Time Highs. Range for this session was 217 handles on 407k contracts exchanged.

 

Transition from Cycle Day 3 to Cycle Day 1

Transition into Cycle Day 1: Today begins a new cycle with the average decline projection zone between (24680) and (24604).

Market reaction & indexes at record highs
Tech stocks are helping push major U.S. stock indices (Nasdaq, S&P 500, Dow) to record or near-record levels. Investors are reacting positively to the Nvidia-Intel news and expectations around interest rates.

OPEX AND CAPITAL PRESERVATION FRYDAY!


Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.

PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.

As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading. 

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 24730+-, initially targets 24795– 24815 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 24730+-, initially targets 24685 – 24655 zone.

PVA High Edge = 24795     PVA Low Edge = 24710         Prior POC = 24755

NQU

Economic Calendar

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –BR

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN

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