Cycle Day 3 RECAP – Precision > Prediction
Cycle Day 3 delivered exactly what the playbook promised: range expansion, clean level interaction, and disciplined execution — with just enough tech gremlins to keep everyone humble.
Overnight → Early RTH: Textbook Setup
Overnight trade tagged the CD3 Violation target at 6890 and did what it was supposed to do: reversed. No drama, no heroics — just business.
The Line in the Sand at 6825 was reclaimed and rested successfully, igniting a responsive rally that fulfilled the upper Bull Case target at 6955. That reclaim was the tell.
Most importantly, price held above the CD1 Low at 6911.25, officially securing a Positive 3-Day Cycle — keeping the 92% success statistic alive and well.
Stats matter. Structure matters more.
Mid-Session: Levels Doing Level Things
From there, it was a clinic:
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DLMB levels tagged
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Gap from Friday closed
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Volume confirmed zones
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3-Day Cycle target at 6958.85 fulfilled
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ES sandbox defined at 6970–6990
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Structural support firmed at 6970–6975
This was not a chase environment — it was a rotation and confluence market. If you were patient, price paid you. If you chased, price educated you.
NQ followed suit, later fulfilling its CD3 Penetration Target at 25902.32, right into the D-Level Money Box. Correlation stayed tight across the board.
Afternoon: The Law of Diminishing Opportunity
As expected:
Morning opportunities… afternoon snoozing.
By mid-afternoon, the market settled into 6990 pinning behavior, and the energy clearly shifted from initiative to inventory management.
The MOC Sell Imbalance ($4.3B) tested buyer resolve — and the message was clear:
Buyers drove it up… now let’s see if they can defend it.
No wimping out.
Buy ’em and bid ’em — or step aside.
Bottom Line
✔ Cycle Day 3 objectives achieved
✔ Key downside and upside targets fulfilled
✔ Positive 3-Day Cycle secured
✔ Levels respected with surgical precision
This was process trading, not prediction trading — and the tape rewarded those who trusted structure, statistics, and discipline.
Snow was shoveled. Siesta was earned.
On to the next cycle. ❄️📊
— PTGDavid