PTG RECAP — “Post-Fed Blues & The Distribution Shuffle”
Cycle Day 3 – Series S2L
Thursday • October 30, 2025
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Morning Brief:
Coming off the Fed hangover, the market slipped into what David aptly dubbed a “distribution day” — that slow bleed where both sides think they’re right until VWAP starts mocking everyone. The early script had both upside and downside DTS targets hit, leaving traders with a “Post-Fed Blues” soundtrack and a 6915 line-in-the-sand dance floor.
Cycle Context:
📊 Cycle Day 3 (S2L) → typically a transition or exhaustion day.
PTG clockwork held: early short alignment, a bounce attempt into 6915, and then the fade parade into key support.
Manny’s timing guide nailed the intraday swing rhythms — those who synced their clocks to 10:30 and 2:30 caught the best rotation beats.
Key Levels:
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6915: “Line in the Sand” — rejection zone confirmed.
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6880 – 6865: Gap Zone support (tested, retested, and finally broken).
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6855: Money Box Level — tagged to the tick late session, confirming voodoo precision.
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6840: Gap fill magnet for the bears’ victory lap.
Trade Flow Recap:
Early shorts found traction as price flushed through prior low (6882), with Manny’s “look below & fail” setup delivering clean +10 to +20 handles.
A mid-session long probe (A10) tried to lift from 6885, but bulls couldn’t sustain above 6915.
By the final hour, distribution mode was undeniable, with $2B MOC sell imbalance sealing the deal and closing the session on the lows.
Narrative Snapshot:
“Today was clearly a distribution day… post-Fed.” — PTGDavid
“Thought I was done last night, but this tape just keeps on giving.” — Manny
Add in Amazon’s solid beat (EPS $1.95 vs. $1.58 est.) offset by Meta’s 11% post-close nosedive, and you’ve got a market digesting too many catalysts in one sitting.
Looking Ahead:
📅 Cycle Day 1 tomorrow — expect spillover lower as bears press advantage.
Momentum bias = Bear Signal Active.
Keep eyes on 6840 gap fill, then 6820 lower frame if momentum carries.