Daily Market Recap – PTGDavid’s Insights
Overview: Today’s session was marked by persistent selling pressure and a clear directive to avoid long trades unless significant structural shifts occurred. The predominant strategy was to maintain short positions as buyers struggled to reclaim key levels, notably 5765. Below is a summary of the trading activity and strategic guidance shared by PTGDavid throughout the day.
- Overnight and Early Morning Action:
- The session began with a carryover of selling momentum from the previous day, creating a “spill-down” effect. Initial support appeared at identified Cycle Levels, signaling a potential buy response, but this was quickly overtaken by bearish control.
- Key levels, including 5765, were highlighted as critical for any possible bullish reclaim.
- Trading Strategy and Market Sentiment:
- PTGDavid consistently advised caution with long positions, emphasizing that short trades should be prioritized in light of the day’s structural trends.
- With the absence of a clear shift in market structure, short positions were the focus, with recommended adjustments to stop trails as prices continued to move lower. Throughout the morning, PTGDavid confirmed that sellers were reloading at lower price levels, intensifying downward pressure.
- Intraday Key Levels and Structural Insights:
- Attempts to reclaim 5765 were met with continued resistance, affirming the dominance of sellers. This level was crucial throughout the day, serving as a potential tipping point for any short-term reversals, though buyers repeatedly failed to maintain a bid above it.
- Mid-session insights included maintaining tight stops on shorts and marking 5750 as morning low support, which helped guide trailing strategies for short positions.
- End-of-Day Dynamics:
- In the final hour, PTGDavid noted an MOC (Market on Close) imbalance initially presenting as a $1.1 billion buy, only to flip sharply to a $3 billion sell imbalance, reinforcing the day’s bearish outlook.
- PTGDavid concluded with the observation that markets “tend to close how they open,” which held true as sellers exerted pressure through the close. A final note suggested an opportunity for bears to press further after the cash close, marking the close as firmly controlled by sellers.
Summary: Today’s trading emphasized disciplined short positioning, with consistent seller dominance at critical levels. PTGDavid’s insights provided a clear focus on avoiding longs, managing stop trails effectively, and observing key resistance levels for any potential reversal signals that never fully materialized. The bearish trend was solidified by the MOC flip to a substantial sell imbalance, signaling further pressure into the closing moments of the session.