https://polaristradinggroup.com/
Daily Trade Strategy: PTG Blog
Daily Range Calculator: DRC Tool
Follow on X: @polarisTrading
CFTC Rule 4.41: Disclaimer
🎯 Prior Session
Cycle Day 1 delivered on its lower expansion, giving way to a textbook bear push before finding tactical responsive buyers. Those who overstayed long learned that gravity works fast when liquidity thins out.
⚙️ Cycle Day 2 Execution
The morning opened with a clean Continuation Long trigger (ES 6825–6829) that teased momentum before fading faster than Manny’s patience for another “chart check” on the morning walk.
Manny’s early breakout long managed to wring a modest +5s and +10s, but even he admitted his fill was “terrible”—and the tape didn’t forgive.
By mid-morning, RSPR logic kept traders out of back-to-back losing A10s, a small mercy as sellers methodically pressed every support shelf lower.
The sandbox edges (6805–6845) became a bear playground, and by 11:00–12:15 the session’s low-time window was fully weaponized.
From there, the LB&F at 6769–6773 set up for the patient hunter, but it was “hard AF” to hold through the chop. Those who did, found tactical success with +5, +10, +20 scale-outs as bears forced long liquidation and took full operational control.
🧠 Trader’s Notes
Emotional management was the quiet headline today — as Manny quipped,
“Emo’s can often lead to poor trade management. Flexibility in certain areas, rigidity in others.”
The discipline theme echoed across the room — from execution regret to ATA troubleshooting — reminding everyone that automation doesn’t replace awareness, it just amplifies your habits.
🧊 Session Close
Into the close, a $4.2B MOC Sell Imbalance hit the tape — confirmation that bears owned today’s battlefield.
David summed it up with veteran brevity:
“How the week closes could be a BIG tell.”
Friday’s session will reveal whether this was a final liquidation drive or a cycle control grab. Either way, buckle the chinstrap — it’s setup for a Cycle Day 3 inflection that could define the week’s tone.
⚔️ Cycle Day 3 Transition
-
Range Map: 6748 – 6820 – 6852
-
Fulcrum Zone: 6780 → Control Pivot
-
Bias: Tactical balance early, with risk of continuation spill if buyers can’t reclaim 6800.