Trading Room RECAP 12.12.25

Capital Preservation Mode Activated

Overnight Session:
Price tip-toed below the 6910 Line in the Sand, kissed the 6890 initial downside target, and politely reminded the room: “Yes, it’s Fryday… no, we will not be doing anything heroic.”

Opening Handshake:
Market alignment = short side straight out of the gate.
Target zones behaved like well-trained soldiers:

  • 6890–6885: First logical back-test ✔️

  • 6865–6860: Structural ledge + value edge retest ✔️

  • 6840: The “someone definitely lost control” projected low entered the chat.

Vol Trigger Drama:
At 6850, our beloved Vol Trigger fired off a respectable buy-response (not a reversal, just one of those “we’re not dead yet” wiggles). Opportunity… not salvation.

The Money Box Maneuvers (MB2):
Price eventually dove deep enough to smack the lower Money Box Zone, triggering a buy response so textbook it should come with a bibliography. Noon Balloon promptly launched northbound.

But — the ceiling. Always the ceiling:

  • 6837: Top of lower value = rejection candidate

  • 6824: 50% retracement marker. Bulls had one job: defend it.
    They mostly did… until they didn’t.

Afternoon Fryday Shenanigans:

  • Morning smash → afternoon buyback → Run Forest Run moment as shorties panicked 😅

  • 2PM Shake-n-Bake swung the pendulum right back to the south side of Chicago.

  • Structural map remained religiously:
    20–23 support, 24 “don’t lose this” line, and 37 rejection watch zone.

Closing Rotation:

  • $3.1B MOC buy imbalance?
    Market: “Cute. Anyway…”

  • Price finished the day delivering a picture-perfect Cycle Day 1 decline, hitting every mission-outlined target like DTS had insider info (it doesn’t… but it acts like it does).

Prime Directive Reminder (twice… because Fryday):
Overconfidence is a mortal sin.
Stops tight, size light, expectations realistic.
The market will take your lunch money.


🎯 Final Takeaway

A masterclass CD1 decline, executed with precision: initial flush, Money Box response, vol-trigger feint, structured stair-step lower, and late-day rotation games.
If you read the DTS Briefing, you were unbothered.
If you didn’t… well… David knows.

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