Trading Room RECAP 4.22.25

⚡ Overnight Action & Pre-Market Context:

  • Price continued its late-session bounce and fulfilled the 5250 upside target, aligning with the ongoing rise in Average True Range (ATR: 268).

  • PTGDavid confirmed a transition into Cycle Day 1 (CD1), implying fresh directional potential and expanding ranges.

  • Key pre-market insight: “Projected CD1 Low was tagged,” suggesting buyers had reclaimed control heading into RTH (regular trading hours).

🚀 Opening Drive & Early Trend Formation:

  • PTGDavid highlighted an early long lean as price held above VWAP, a key early-session directional cue.

  • The expectation for MATD rhythms (Morning After Trend Day) signaled potential for an early directional move.

  • Price moved decisively above Initial Balance (IB) High – 5280, confirming a Trend Up Day.

  • Successive targets were fulfilled: TGT1 = 5302, TGT2 = 5324, confirming bullish continuation with high precision.

📉 Reversal Dynamics & D-Level Inflection:

  • By early afternoon, price behavior shifted as D-Level POC clusters presented resistance.

  • A significant pullback materialized, breaking below the IB High (5280) and invalidating trend day structure.

  • PTGDavid noted a classic “Morning Pump → Afternoon Dump” setup.

  • Increased volume into the reversal highlighted the importance of monitoring key historical zones for reaction.

📍 Closing Commentary & Imbalance Flow:

  • Price oscillated near VWAP as intraday volatility eased.

  • A substantial MOC (Market On Close) buy imbalance of $2.6 billion emerged, potentially stabilizing end-of-day price.

  • PTGDavid concluded with remarks on spot gold (GLD) and leveraging ETFs intra-day like futures for flexibility and risk-adjusted exposure.


📘 EDUCATIONAL TAKEAWAYS:

  • Cycle Structure Awareness: Recognizing transitions between cycle days (e.g., CD1) enhances directional bias.

  • Anchored VWAPs & Historical POCs are invaluable for framing intraday trade zones and reversals.

  • Initial Balance (IB) Breakouts often mark inflection points for trend continuation or failure.

  • ATR awareness provides vital context on expected volatility and helps size targets realistically.

  • MOC Imbalances offer insight into institutional interest and can shift late-day directional flows.

  • Disciplined Narrative Tracking (like PTGDavid’s) models structured intraday decision-making grounded in levels, volume, and cycle theory.

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