Trading Room RECAP 5.2.25

Session Theme: Stay Aligned with the Dominant Force – Bulls in Control

Morning Commentary and Setup

  • 9:00 AM – Reaffirms the bullish stance following the better-than-expected April jobs report (177K vs. 138K est., Unemployment inline at 4.2%).

  • 9:05 AM – States a concise outlook: “Bulls have control on the Jobs beat… stay aligned on the long side on dips.”

  • 9:55 AM – Notes VWAP support on ES, with bulls needing to reclaim the 5682 handle for continuation.

  • 10:16 AM – Identifies 5710 as the “Liberation Day” SoC (Scene of the Crime) and a magnet target.

Market Execution and Strategy

  • Throughout the morning, PTGDavid emphasizes:

    • VWAP as a reliable mean reversion gauge.

    • Avoiding counter-trend short setups.

    • Staying aligned with the bullish structure on dips.

  • 10:28 AM – Reaffirms 5710 as the primary upside target.

  • 11:26 AM – Notes 5700 as strong resistance—”a tough nut to crack.”

  • 11:49 AM – Breakout alert as price clears 5700, confirming momentum toward 5710.

Target Fulfillment and Celebration

  • 12:01 PM – Target of 5710 hit, triggering an exuberant celebration (“BOOOOOOM!”).

  • David reposts his earlier 10:16 AM call, underlining its accuracy.

  • Emphasizes the core principle: “STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.”

Cycle Analysis and Continuation

  • 12:12 PM – Declares fulfillment of “Money Box” and CD3 Penetration Level.

  • Shares visual evidence of another completed 3-Day Super Cycle, further validating his cycle-based analysis.

  • 2:32 PM – Sets a final upside target of 5734.50 based on extended CD3 projections.

Afternoon Management and Wrap-Up

  • 2:52 PM – Reports stop trail elected on remaining A10 runners.

  • 3:20 PM – 5700-05 zone holds again, validating support.

  • 3:43 PM – Declares a “Capital Preservation Day”, opting out of the close.

  • 3:50 PM – Reports a $4B MOC buy imbalance, which triggers a final rally into the close from defended support.


Educational Takeaways from PTGDavid’s Session

  • 🔹 Alignment with Macro Catalyst: A strong jobs report is a clear macro cue; David uses this as the foundation for a bullish thesis.

  • 🔹 Price Action Anchoring: VWAP, prior highs/lows, and SoC levels serve as high-probability zones for entries and targets.

  • 🔹 Clarity in Targets: Defining 5710 early as a magnetic level helped maintain directional conviction.

  • 🔹 Cycle-Based Framing: David utilizes a “3-Day Super Cycle” model, combining time and price projections to anticipate market rhythm.

  • 🔹 Emotional Discipline: Despite volatility, he avoids shorts, emphasizes capital preservation late in the day, and celebrates execution clarity—not just outcome.

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