Theme of the Day: Slow Drip, Tactical Grips & Unexpected Blips
—
📍 Key Resources & Strategy Links
“This presentation is for educational purposes only… and any resemblance to your real trading account is purely coincidental.”
🔎 Market Breakdown
@ES Futures (S&P 500)
Overnight action featured a classic bait-and-switch:
-
Price spiked into Upper Money Box Zone (6037.50–6041.25) during the Asian session.
-
Reversed faster than a toddler near broccoli—down to 5992 critical support.
-
By pre-RTH: Trading just around 6015, the fabled Line in the Sand (LIS).
@NQ Futures (NASDAQ)
-
Mirrored the ES setup, tapping the Upper Money Box Zone (21938.25–21957.50) before gently sliding back to center stage.
📈 Game Plan — DTS Strategy Levels
From the Full DTS Briefing, here’s the tactical breakdown:
🟢 Bull Scenario:
Hold the bid above 6015 → Target 6025–6030
🎯 Targets both hit during early session.
🔴 Bear Scenario:
Sustain below 6015 → Target 6000–5995
🕰 Not triggered as of midday.
🔄 Cycle Context
-
Transition into Cycle Day 3 confirmed after holding above CD1 Low (5930.75).
-
This satisfies the Positive 3-Day Cycle Statistic (✅ 90.24% historical win rate).
-
Market mostly in a holding pattern ahead of Wednesday’s CPI.
-
Unexpected geopolitical spice:
🗞 “IRAN BECOMING ‘MUCH MORE AGGRESSIVE’ IN NUCLEAR TALKS” — Trump, Fox News
“Iran was not on my Bingo card… only CPI and China,” David quipped.
💬 Midday Banter & Market Vibe
-
Low volume, “paint-drying” pace led to witty chat room commentary:
“Watching Paint Drip Dry…”
🔗 SOH Meme Image“Keep your powder dry…”
🔗 Lunch Vibe -
Notable quote:
“Early buyers have ball control…” – PTGDavid (a chartroom Messi reference?)
-
EOD MOC Imbalance:
💵 Buy Imbalance of $744M
🧠 Educational Takeaways
-
✅ Price location determines narrative. ES price hovered at 6015 all session—a magnet level dictating both directional scenarios.
-
🔁 Cycle Statistics Matter. Knowing you’re on CD3 with a 90% follow-through probability adds context to patience and probability alignment.
-
🎯 Plan the Trade, Trade the Plan. All outlined targets (6025–6030) were methodically fulfilled.
-
💡 Be flexible, not reactive. Unexpected news (e.g., Iran) may shake the tree—but not every leaf is worth chasing.
-
🧘♂️ SOH is a Position. Recognizing “paint dry” conditions is an edge in itself. Don’t force trades where opportunity lacks rhythm.
-
🛠 OODA > Impulse. Some traders posted about printing and following the OODA loop. Discipline in thought structure helps when markets go sideways.