Trading Room RECAP 7.15.25

📝 PTG Market Recap – CD1

Theme: “The Trapdoor Tuesday Flush”

  • CPI Surprise: YoY CPI came in hotter (2.7% vs 2.6% forecast), but Core MoM cooled (0.2% vs 0.3%), creating early confusion and whipsaw in premarket flows.

  • Early Lean Identified: At 9:47 AM, David marked a Sell-Side Lean, which proved prophetic as bullish attempts were systematically swatted.

  • Key Inflection Levels:

    • 6300 dubbed the “Line in the Sand”, initially held.

    • 6315 acted as a magnet and battleground most of the day.

    • 6290 – identified as the trapdoor level – was hit late session as a cluster of stops below lows were taken out.

  • Cycle Day 1 unfolded backward: Violation of PDH happened overnight, CD1 low formed late in the session, confirming a classic intraday cycle structure.

Quotes of the Day:

“Better to be patient than BE the PATIENT!”
“Bulls had no real chance… every rally swatted like a fly.”

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