PTG Market Recap – Wednesday September 17, 2025
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Cycle Day 2 – Overnight fulfilled the lower TZ 6655–6650 with a buy response.
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Line in the Sand: 6675 held as the key battleground all day, acting like “insect repellent” for bulls.
Morning Session:
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Quiet chop pre-FOMC.
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Manny reminded: “FOMC day is not for heroes. Half size.”
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RSPR/white dot discussions kept the classroom humming while traders sat tight.
FOMC Fireworks (2 PM):
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Fed delivered expected cut; dissent from Miran who wanted 50 bps.
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Projections: another 50 bps in 2025, 25 in 2026, 25 in 2027.
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Initial bull target zone 6685–6695 tagged, then a sharp flush back to CD2 violation low 6641 before rebounding.
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Fast tape triggered reminders: SOH = Sitting on Hands for those not synced with rhythm.
Afternoon Session:
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Presser turbulence—“JPOW losing the PR battle.”
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Nachos and “Clear Air Turbulence” analogies kept spirits light.
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Bulls struggled with the 6675 LIS, never fully reclaiming with conviction.
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MOC showed a $1.1B buy imbalance, fueling a late squeeze attempt.
Final Notes:
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A true “Wild Ride Clyde” FOMC day.
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Traders joked about T-shirts: “I Survived the Fed.”
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Back to normal rhythms tomorrow.