Trade Strategy 04.01.15

S&P 500 Index closed the month and quarter with a MOC Sell Imbalance of $2.2B, settling price on the lows of session. Overnight trade continued to push lower to reach the 52-Day Midpoint (Senkou B), at which time strong buy response back up to settlement. Currently, pre-open suggests a small down gap.

Today is Cycle Day 3 (CD3)…Odds of 3D Rally > 10 = 82%; Odds of 3D Rally > 20 = 54%; Average range = 17.75; Max Average Range = 21.50; Possible High = 2084 50 based upon average penetration of CD2 high; Possible Low = 2038.00 based upon range expansion.

***Note: The odds highlighted are NOT predictions or trade recommendations, rather a guide based upon historical observed occurrences.

TMXZ 04.01.15

Today’s Hypotheses: June (M) Contract

Scenario 1: IF price can hold above CD1 Low (2047.25) THEN initial upside targets 3D CPZ (2060.25 – 2060.75). Above this zone measures 2063.50, then 2064.75 – 2066.50.

Scenario 2: Price “fell through the ice” yesterday and overnight…Rally attempt stalled at 3D CPZ which is formidable resistance. IF price continues to violate PL (2056.25), downside price targets 2050.75, THEN 2047.25 – 2044.50 zone. TargetMaster Range Breakdown has already been tested…Continued weakness during Pit Session could retest this level for surety.

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO. – Bruce Lee

 

 


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