Trade Strategy 1.12.21

Markets

Next move for the market?

Equities took a breather on Monday following a rally that took major U.S. indexes to record highs, though the pullback does not seem to be lasting long, as futures look to start today’s session on the right foot. Dow +0.3%; S&P 500 +0.3%; Nasdaq +0.5%

Source: SeekingAlpha.com

Economic Calendar

8:55 Redbook Chain Store Sales
9:30 Fed’s Bostic: “Economic Recovery and Addressing Inequality”
9:35 Fed’s Brainard: “Artificial Intelligence and Financial Services”
10:00 Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey
11:00 Fed’s Kaplan: “Racism and the Economy: Focus on Education”
11:00 Fed’s Bostic: “Racism and the Economy: Focus on Education”
12:00 PM Fed’s Mester Speech
1:00 PM Fed’s George Speech
1:00 PM Results of $38B, 10-Year Note Auction

https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/

***New: PTG Trading Room Chat Log’s Link

S&P 500

Prior Session was Cycle Day 3 (CD3): Failure to expand above CD2 High and as such decline pushed price lower finding buy response at 3775, which was yesterday’s projected lower target. Range was 44.25 handles on 1.255M contracts exchanged.

 …Transition from Cycle Day 3 to Cycle Day 1

This leads us into Cycle Day 1 (CD1): Normal for CD1 is some magnitude decline, with average measuring 3772. Overnight price is trading with a relatively narrow range within prior value zone. As such, there are two estimated scenarios to consider for today’s trading.

1.) Price sustains a bid above 3800, initially targets 3812 – 3817 zone.

2.) Price sustains an offer below 3800, initially targets 3775 – 3772 zone.

*****3 Day Cycle has a 91% probability of fulfilling Positive Statistic covering 12 years of recorded tracking history.

PVA High Edge = 3800       PVA Low Edge = 3785         Prior POC = 3795

Range Projections and Key Levels (ES) March 2021 (H) Contract

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 3838; LOD ATR Range Projection: 3757; 3 Day Central Pivot: 3794; 3 Day Cycle Target: 3820; 10 Day Average True Range  50; VIX: 23

Nasdaq 100 (NQ)

Today is Cycle Day 1 (CD1)…Price is trading within prior session’s value zone. Prior Range was 233.50 handles on 448k contracts exchanged. As such, there are two estimated scenarios to consider for today’s trading.

PVA High Edge = 12998       PVA Low Edge = 12904      Prior POC = 12973

Bull Scenario: IF Bulls sustain a bid above 12950, THEN initial upside estimate targets 13000 – 13040 zone.

Bear Scenario: IF Bears sustain an offer below 12950, THEN initial downside estimate targets 12900 – 12875 zone.

Range Projections and Key Levels (NQ) March 2021 (H) Contract

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 13086; LOD ATR Range Projection: 12758; 3 Day Central Pivot: 12950; 3 Day Cycle Target: 13105; 10 Day Average True Range: 200; VIX: 23

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN


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