Trade Strategy 1.24.17

Markets

Business activity in eurozone eased slightly in January according to Markit’s flash composite PMI, which fell to 54.3 from 54.4 in December. Nonetheless the reading was one of the highest over the past five-and-a-half years. It “signals respectable quarterly GDP growth of 0.4% with a broad-based expansion across both manufacturing and services,” said Chris Williamson, chief economist at IHS Markit.

In Asia, Japan -0.6%. Hong Kong +0.2%. China +0.2%. India +1%.
In Europe, at midday, London +0.2%. Paris +0.1%. Frankfurt +0.2%.
Futures at 6:20, Dow +0.1%. S&P flat. Nasdaq flat. Crude flat at $52.75. Gold -0.3% to $1212.20.
Ten-year Treasury Yield +3 bps to 2.43%

(Source: Seeking Alpha)

Economic Calendar 

8:55 Redbook Chain Store Sales
9:45 PMI Manufacturing Index Flash
10:00 Existing Home Sales
10:00 Richmond Fed Mfg.
1:00 PM Results of $26B, 2-Year Note Auction

PTG Trading

Today is Cycle Day 1 (CD1)…Normal is for some magnitude decline, though prior session did push lower to successfully test 2250 key support and sharply bounced back 12 handles. Was that the test for a “secure-low”? Average Decline for CD1 measures 2250, which is “key support”.

Range Projections and Key Levels

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 2272.45; LOD ATR Range Projection: 2251.30; Cycle Day 1 Low: 2253.00; 3 Day Central Pivot: 2262.50; 3 Day Cycle Target: 2279.17; 10 Day Average True Range: 12.95

**Note: The odds highlighted are NOT predictions or trade recommendations, rather a guide based upon historical observed occurrences.

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Today’s Hypotheses: March 2017 (H) Contract

*****The levels outlined below are more general framework within a larger range…They are to be used are reference prices from which to consider trade opportunities, not hard trade levels.

Scenario 1: Bulls need to fend off any additional selling and push through and convert 2266 to upper support. IF successful, THEN 2270 key resistance” is likely to be tested. Upper targets measure 2275 – 2280 zone.

Scenario 2:  Bears need to push back below 2256 – 58 zone and retest 2250 handle for surety. IF they can force selling, lower targets measure 2245 – 2240 zone.

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone. Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose. This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN


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