Trade Strategy 1.25.17

Markets

Investors are cheering President Trump’s new executive orders clearing the path for the Keystone XL and Dakota Access Pipelines, two controversial projects blocked under Obama. Energy shares also rallied following actions that rolled back regulations and environmental rules to boost infrastructure projects. That left the S&P 500 and Nasdaq at new record closing highs yesterday and the Dow within 100 point of the elusive 20,000. U.S. futures are now all up by 0.3%.

In Asia, Japan +1.4%. Hong Kong +0.4%. China +0.2%. India +1.2%.
In Europe, at midday, London +0.2%. Paris +1%. Frankfurt +1.3%.
Futures at 6:20, Dow +0.3%. S&P +0.3%. Nasdaq +0.3%. Crude -1% to $52.65. Gold -0.6% to $1204.
Ten-year Treasury Yield +1 bps to 2.48%

(Source: Seeking Alpha)

Economic Calendar 

7:00 MBA Mortgage Applications
9:00 FHFA House Price Index
10:30 EIA Petroleum Inventories
1:00 PM Results of $15B, 2-Year FRN Auction
1:00 PM Results of $34B, 5-Year Note Auction

PTG Trading

Compression leads to expansion as markets finally broke out to the upside from its recent range. Scenario 1 (bullish) laid out in prior DTS Briefing 1.24.17 played out perfectly as price reached projected target zone.

Today is Cycle Day 2 (CD2)…3 Day Average Rally Target of 2282.22 has been achieved, though current momentum can push price higher still. STATX Zone between 2282.50 – 2285.00 may reveal some responsive sellers looking to take profits.

Range Projections and Key Levels

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 2288.20; LOD ATR Range Projection: 2268.80; Cycle Day 1 Low: 2259.50; 3 Day Central Pivot: 2266.25; 3 Day Cycle Target: 2282.22; 10 Day Average True Range: 13.45

**Note: The odds highlighted are NOT predictions or trade recommendations, rather a guide based upon historical observed occurrences.

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Today’s Hypotheses: March 2017 (H) Contract

*****The levels outlined below are more general framework within a larger range…They are to be used are reference prices from which to consider trade opportunities, not hard trade levels.

Scenario 1: Bulls have the ball with momentum which may continue to push higher with measured targets between 2285.50 – 2290 handles.

Scenario 2:  Bears need to halt the momentum and turn back buyers below PH (2280.50) to have any chance of reversal. Initial lower target measures 2275.50 (GBX Open) 

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone. Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose. This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN


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