Trade Strategy 1.26.17

Markets

The Dow took almost 103 years to reach 10,000 in March 1999, and another 17 years to double. But the last 1,000 points to reach the 20,000 milestone took just 42 trading days. The blue-chip index has been propelled by President Trump’s moves to promote infrastructure projects and cut regulation, while recording the all-time high during his first week in office. As a whole, the U.S. stock market has gained $2T in wealth since Election Day.

In Asia, Japan +1.8%. Hong Kong +1.4%. China +0.3%. India +1.2%.
In Europe, at midday, London +0.2%. Paris +0.1%. Frankfurt +0.5%.
Futures at 6:20, Dow +0.2%. S&P +0.1%. Nasdaq +0.2%. Crude +0.3% to $52.92. Gold -0.5% to $1191.90.
Ten-year Treasury Yield +1 bps to 2.53%

(Source: Seeking Alpha)

Economic Calendar 

8:30 Initial Jobless Claims
8:30 International trade in goods
8:30 Chicago Fed National Activity Index
9:45 Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index
9:45 PMI Services Index Flash
10:00 New Home Sales
10:00 Leading Indicators
10:30 EIA Natural Gas Inventory
11:00 Kansas City Fed Mfg Survey
1:00 PM Results of $28B, 7-Year Note Auction
4:30 PM Money Supply
4:30 PM Fed Balance Sheet

PTG Trading

Markets continued their “Trump Bump” rally in prior session as financials and consumer discretionary groups were strong leaders. S&P e-mini (ES) has now rallied 47.75 handles from 2251.75 low set on January 23rd.

Today is Cycle Day 3 (CD3)…Positive 3 Day Rally is firmly in-place, so as such a corrective decline could begin at anytime. Central Pivot Zone is between 2288 – 2285 as first line of support.

Range Projections and Key Levels

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 2305.65; LOD ATR Range Projection: 2285.60; Cycle Day 1 Low: 2259.50; 3 Day Central Pivot: 2273.50; 3 Day Cycle Target: 2282.22; 10 Day Average True Range: 13.90

**Note: The odds highlighted are NOT predictions or trade recommendations, rather a guide based upon historical observed occurrences.

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Today’s Hypotheses: March 2017 (H) Contract

*****The levels outlined below are more general framework within a larger range…They are to be used are reference prices from which to consider trade opportunities, not hard trade levels.

Scenario 1: Price has extended gains in overnight to 2300 handle and will need to keep the bid alive to pusher higher. Additional upside targets measure 2303.52 – 2305.65.

Scenario 2:  Bears need to halt any further advance from bulls and push for a violation back below PH (2295.25). Downside levels to be mindful of are: 2291…2288…2285 for renewed buy response.

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone. Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose. This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN


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