Trade Strategy 10.25.18

Markets
 
The selloff in U.S. stocks accelerated on Wednesday, wiping out gains for the year in both the DJIA and S&P 500 Index, while the Nasdaq lapsed into a correction. It was the largest daily decline on Wall Street since 2011, but the volatility pendulum is attempting to swing back, with U.S. stock index futures posting gains ahead of the open.
 
In Asia, Japan -3.7%. Hong Kong -1%. China flat. India -1%
In Europe, at midday, London +0.1%. Paris +1.4%. Frankfurt +0.4%
Futures at 6:20, Dow +0.6%. S&P +0.7%. Nasdaq +1.4%. Crude -0.2% to $66.70. Gold +0.3% to $1235.30. Bitcoin -0.3% to $6430. 
Ten-year Treasury Yield flat at 3.12%
 
(Source: Seeking Alpha)
 
Economic Calendar

http://mam.econoday.com/

8:30 Durable Goods
8:30 Initial Jobless Claims
8:30 International trade in goods
8:30 Retail Inventories
8:30 Wholesale Inventories
10:00 Pending Home Sales
10:30 EIA Natural Gas Inventory
11:00 Kansas City Fed Mfg Survey
12:15 PM Richard Clarida: Economic Outlook and Monetary Policy
1:00 PM Results of $31B, 7-Year Note Auction
4:30 PM Money Supply
4:30 PM Fed Balance Sheet

***New: PTG Trading Room Chat Log’s Link Click this link to view:

S&P 500

Today is Cycle Day 1 (CD1)…Normal is for a decline measuring 2718.00. Average Range for CD1 is 26.00 handles. Odds of decline > 10 handles = 72% Odds of decline > 20 = 42%

CD1 Range High = 2685.00        CD1 Range Low = 2666.00         CD1 Range Avg = 26.00 

Scenario 1: IF price holds bid above 2672, THEN upside targets 2687 – 2692 zone.

Scenario 2: IF price holds offer below 2672, THEN downside targets 2662 – 2656 zone.

Range Projections and Key Levels (ES) December (Z) Contract

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 2713.50; LOD ATR Range Projection: 2638.00; 3 Day Central Pivot: 2729.00; 3 Day Cycle Target: 2686.00; 10 Day Average True Range 55.00; VIX: 23.50

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Nasdaq 100 (NQ)

Today is Cycle Day 1 (CD1)…Normal is for a decline measuring 7040.00. Average Range for CD1 is 104.50 handles. Odds of decline > 20 handles = 73% Odds of decline > 25 = 64%

CD1 Range High = 6921.50          CD1 Range Low = 6861.50          CD1 Range Avg = 104.50

Scenario 1: IF price holds bid above 6880, THEN upside targets 6945 – 6980 zone.

Scenario 2: IF price holds off below 6880, THEN downside targets 6840 — 6820 zone.

Range Projections and Key Levels (NQ) December (Z) Contract

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 7017.50; LOD ATR Range Projection: 6765.50; 3 Day Central Pivot: 7056.00; 3 Day Cycle Target: 6930.00; 10 Day Average True Range: 200.00; VIX: 23.50

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Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN


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