Trade Strategy 12.7.16

Markets

  • U.S. futures and global shares are holding on to their Italy-related gains after the Dow notched a new record closing high on Monday.
  • The current U.S. bull market is now three months from turning eight years old and one month from becoming the longest on record.
  • Crude is down 1.1% to $51.21/bbl, gold is 0.2% lower at $1174/ounce, while the 10-year Treasury yield is flat at 2.39%.
  • In Asia, Japan +0.7%. Hong Kong +0.6%. China +0.7%. India -0.6%.
    In Europe, at midday, London +1.5%. Paris +0.9%. Frankfurt +1.5%.
    Futures at 6:30, Dow +0.1%. S&P flat. Nasdaq flat. Crude +0.3% to $51.09. Gold +0.3% to $1174.10.
    Ten-year Treasury Yield -2 bps to 2.37%

(Source: Seeking Alpha)

Economic Calendar

7:00 MBA Mortgage Applications
8:30 Gallup U.S. Job Creation Index
10:00 Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey
10:30 EIA Petroleum Inventories
3:00 PM Consumer Credit

PTG Trading

Bulls continued to absorb any selling in prior session which only produced a marginal aberrant Cycle Day 1 decline. Average True Range currently at 11.80 continues to contract, which is supportive of continued upside trend.

Today is Cycle Day 2 (CD2)…There continues to be upside potential targeting 2220 HOD Range Projection up through 2227 STATX Zone and 3 Day Cycle targets.

Range Projections and Key Levels

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 2220.30; LOD ATR Range Projection: 2201.20; Cycle Day 1 Low: 2200.25; 3 Day Central Pivot: 2198.75; 3 Day Cycle Target: 2225.00; 10 Day Average True Range: 11.80

**Note: The odds highlighted are NOT predictions or trade recommendations, rather a guide based upon historical observed occurrences.

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Today’s Hypotheses: December (Z) Contract

*****The levels outlined below are more general framework within a larger range…They are to be used are reference prices from which to consider trade opportunities, not hard trade levels.

Scenario 1: IF price clears and converts 2212.00, THEN upside potential measures 2220 HOD Range Projection, then 2223 – 2227 STATX Zone.

Scenario 2: Violation and conversion of 2205 handle would be initial sign of weakness, which would target 2200 – 2198 3 Day Central Pivot Zone.

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone. Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose. This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN


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