Trade Strategy 12.8.17

Markets
 
Providing the latest snapshot of the American economy, the Labor Department will release its latest nonfarm payrolls report at 8:30 a.m. ET. Economists expect that 200,000 jobs were added in November, while the unemployment rate held steady at 4.1%. The strong figures will likely force the Fed next week to hike rates for the third time this year and push central bank officials toward more aggressive monetary policy in 2018.
 
In Asia, Japan +1.4%. Hong Kong +1.2%. China +0.6%. India +0.9%
In Europe, at midday, London +0.4%. Paris +0.5%. Frankfurt +1.2%
Futures at 6:20, Dow +0.2%. S&P +0.2%. Nasdaq +0.5%. Crude +1% to $57.24. Gold -0.4% to $.1248.10 Bitcoin -12.2% to $14794. 
Ten-year Treasury Yield +1 bps to 2.39%
 
(Source: Seeking Alpha)

Economic Calendar

8:30 Non-farm payrolls
10:00 Wholesale Trade
10:00 Consumer Sentiment
1:00 PM Baker-Hughes Rig Count

S&P 500 (ES)

Today is Cycle Day 3 (CD3)…Bears again are having difficulty with follow-through down session as Bulls are pushing higher and have achieved 2648 3 Day Cycle Target. Further conversion above 2650 places Bears on the defensive.

Nasdaq 100 (NQ)

NAZ has recovered lost ground as price pushes up against 11/14 high…IF converted next objective targets 6440.

Range Projections and Key Levels (ES)

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 2660.98; LOD ATR Range Projection: 2628.77; Cycle Day 1 Low: 2622.50 3 Day Central Pivot: 2635.50; 3 Day Cycle Target: 2648.00; 10 Day Average True Range: 20.00; VIX: 10.05

**Note: The odds highlighted are NOT predictions or trade recommendations, rather a guide based upon historical observed occurrences.

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Today’s Hypotheses: March 2018 (ESH) Contract

*****The levels outlined below are more general framework within a larger range…They are to be used are reference prices from which to consider trade opportunities, not hard trade levels.

Scenario 1: IF price clears anc converts PH (2643.75), THEN upside targets 2648 – 2650 zone. Above this zone measures 2652 – 2655.

Scenario 2: IF price violates and converts 2638 VPOC, THEN downside targets 2632 handle. 

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN


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