Trade Strategy 3.6.18

Markets
 
In Asia, Japan +1.8%. Hong Kong +2.1%. China +1%. India -1.3%
In Europe, at midday, London +1%. Paris +0.8%. Frankfurt +1.2%
Futures at 6:20, Dow +0.6%. S&P +0.4%. Nasdaq +0.6%. Crude -0.5% to $62.85. Gold +0.5% to $1326.40. Bitcoin -4.4% to $10929. 
Ten-year Treasury Yield +1 bps to 2.89%
 
(Source: Seeking Alpha)

Economic Calendar

8:55 Redbook Chain Store Sales
10:00 Factory Orders
7:00 PM Fed’s Reserve Gov. Lael Brainard: Economic and Monetary Policy Outlook
8:30 PM Fed’s Kaplan speech

S&P 500 (ES)

Today is Cycle Day 3 (CD3)…Having fulfilled upside cycle targets in prior session, prices are extending gains in overnight trade as bullish momentum remains strong. Further upside targets 2738 – 40 zone.

Scenario 1: IF price holds bid above PC (2718.75), and converts PH (2727.75), THEN upside measure 2739 handle.

Scenario 2: IF price violates and converts PC (2718.75), THEN retracement downside measures 2712 – 2708 zone.

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 2765.67; LOD ATR Range Projection: 2684.58; Cycle Day 1 Low: 2647.00; 3 Day Central Pivot: 2690.25; 3 Day Cycle Target: 2719.25; 10 Day Average True Range 49.67; VIX: 17.83

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Nasdaq 100 (NQ)

Today is Cycle Day 3 (CD3)…Having fulfilled upside cycle targets in prior session, prices are extending gains in overnight trade as bullish momentum remains strong. Further upside targets 6923 – 6942 zone.

Scenario 1: IF price holds bid above PC (6881.50), and converts PH (6904.50), THEN upside measure 6923 handle.

Scenario 2: IF price violates and converts PC (6881.50), THEN retracement downside measures 6852 – 6840 zone.

Range Projections and Key Levels (NQ)

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 7018.72; LOD ATR Range Projection: 6784.28; Cycle Day 1 Low: 6646.00; 3 Day Central Pivot: 6895.50; 3 Day Cycle Target: 6796.00; 10 Day Average True Range: 141.72; VIX: 17.83

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Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN