Trade Strategy 4.16.18

Markets
 
In Asia, Japan +0.3%. Hong Kong -1.6%. China -1.5%. India +0.3%
In Europe, at midday, London -0.4%. Paris flat. Frankfurt +0.2%
Futures at 6:20, Dow +0.6%. S&P +0.6%. Nasdaq +0.7%. Crude -1.3% to $66.55. Gold flat at $1347.60. Bitcoin -3.1% to $8096. 
Ten-year Treasury Yield +3 bps to 2.86%
 
(Source: Seeking Alpha)
 
Economic Calendar

8:30 Retail Sales
8:30 Empire State Mfg Survey
10:00 NAHB Housing Market Index
10:00 Business Inventories
1:15 PM Fed’s Bostic Speech
4:00 PM Treasury International Capital

S&P 500

Today is Cycle Day 1 (CD1)…Normal is for a decline measuring 2614.50. Average Range for CD1 is 50.86 handles. Odds of decline > 10 handles = 71% Odds of decline > 20 = 41% Possible CD1 Range Low = 2626.50

Scenario 1: IF price clears and converts 2680.50, THEN upside targets 2683.50 – 2687.50 zone.

Scenario 2: IF price violates and converts 2559.25, THEN downside targets 2654.50 – 2644.50 zone.

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 2706.00; LOD ATR Range Projection: 2632.00; Cycle Day 1 Low: 2626.00; 3 Day Central Pivot: 2655.00; 3 Day Cycle Target: 2740.00; 10 Day Average True Range 45.36; VIX: 17.24

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Nasdaq 100 (NQ)

Today is Cycle Day 1 (CD1)…Normal is for a decline measuring 6524.00. Average Range for CD1 is 142.00 handles. Odds of decline > 20 handles = 72% Odds of decline > 25 = 63% Possible CD1 Range Low = 6556

Scenario 1: IF price clears and converts 6713.00, THEN upside targets 6749.25.

Scenario 2: IF price violates and converts 6642.25, THEN downside targets 6591.00.

Range Projections and Key Levels (NQ)

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 6784.80; LOD ATR Range Projection: 6555.50; Cycle Day 1 Low: 6550.75; 3 Day Central Pivot: 6636.25; 3 Day Cycle Target: 6861.75; 10 Day Average True Range: 142.55; VIX: 17.24

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Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN