Trade Strategy 4.23.18

Markets
 
The 10-year Treasury yield is knocking on the door of 3%, a level it hasn’t topped in more than four years. Signs of a thawing of relations between the U.S. and China are putting upward pressure as rising commodity prices force inflation expectations higher. The last time yields neared the 3% bulwark was in 2013, when they rocked risk appetite ahead of a major oil price crash.
 
In Asia, Japan -0.3%. Hong Kong -0.5%. China -0.1%. India +0.1%
In Europe, at midday, London -0.1%. Paris -0.1%. Frankfurt -0.2%
Futures at 6:20, Dow -0.1%. S&P -0.1%. Nasdaq -0.1%. Crude -0.5% to $68.08. Gold -0.6% to $1329.90. Bitcoin +1.4% to $8915. 
Ten-year Treasury Yield +4 bps to 2.99%
 
(Source: Seeking Alpha)
 
Economic Calendar

8:30 Chicago Fed National Activity Index
9:45 PMI Composite Flash
10:00 Existing Home Sales

S&P 500

Today is Cycle Day 3 (CD3)…Price is currently below CD1 Low (2692.75) and would need to trade above this level for Positive 3 Day Rally.

Scenario 1: IF price holds above PC (2671.25) and subsequently clears and converts 2684.75, THEN primary upside objective is to recover 2692.75.

Scenario 2: IF price fails to hold PC (2671.25), and subsequently violates and converts 2666.50, THEN primary downside objective measures 2658.50.

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 2701.50; LOD ATR Range Projection: 2650.00; Cycle Day 1 Low: 2692.75; 3 Day Central Pivot: 2694.50; 3 Day Cycle Target: 2708.00; 10 Day Average True Range 34.79; VIX: 17.21

Click Here

Nasdaq 100 (NQ)

Today is Cycle Day 3 (CD3)…Price is currently below CD1 Low (6755.25) and would need to trade above this level for Positive 3 Day Rally.

Scenario 1: IF price holds above PC (6675.75) and subsequently clears and converts 6720.00, THEN primary upside objective is to recover 6755.25.

Scenario 2: IF price fails to hold PC (6675.75), and subsequently violates and converts 6660.00, THEN primary downside objective measures 6629.50.

Range Projections and Key Levels (NQ)

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 6780.50; LOD ATR Range Projection: 6599.50; Cycle Day 1 Low: 6755.25; 3 Day Central Pivot: 6780.00; 3 Day Cycle Target: 6816.25; 10 Day Average True Range: 120.46; VIX: 17.21

Click Here

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN


Leave a Reply