Trade Strategy 4.7.20

Markets

Stock futures are pointing to another opening jump in early morning trade, up about 3%, following a steep rebound in the previous session that saw major U.S. indexes rally more than 7%.

DAX exits bear market; S&P 500 to follow

Building on recent gains, Germany’s benchmark DAX Index soared another 4.6% overnight to technically leave a bear market it entered in March.

Source: Seeking Alpha https://seekingalpha.com/

Source: https://www.investing.com/indices/indices-cfds

Economic Calendar

10:00 Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey
3:00 PM Consumer Credit

https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/

***New: PTG Trading Room Chat Log’s Link

S&P 500

Monday’s Session was Cycle Day 1…Price vaulted higher on GLOBEX OPEN (Sunday evening) and never looked back. RTH Session “Jump-The-Creek” Gap Open was powerful, as strong bids persisted throughout the session. Market-on-Close (MOC) Buy topped $6 billion as Mutual Funds put $ to work which they sold last month.

Transition from Cycle Day 1 to Cycle Day 2

This leads us into today’s Cycle Day 2…During GLOBEX Session price has continued its prior session rally, pushing nearly 100 handles (2.5%) from prior close. Price has also retraced approximately 50% from peak-to-trough.

Normal expectation for CD2 is for “back n fill” throughout the session to absorb recent gains. We are anticipating 2690 – 2710 zone to develop some balance on pullbacks. Continue to respect the current trend conditions, but no chasing price. Be patient for natural support zone to develop.

P – VA High = 2630       P – VA Low = 2592         P – POC = 2616

Bull Scenario: IF Bulls hold bid above 2710, THEN initial upside estimate targets 2735 – 2745 zone

Bear Scenario: IF Bears hold offer below 2710, THEN initial downside estimate targets 2690 – 2680 zone.

Range Projections and Key Levels (ES) June 2020 (M) Contract

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 2763; LOD ATR Range Projection: 2605 3 Day Central Pivot: 2525; 3 Day Cycle Target: 2576; 10 Day Average True Range 132; VIX: 44

Nasdaq 100 (NQ)

Today is Cycle Day 2 (CD2)…During GLOBEX Session price has continued its prior session rally, pushing nearly 355 handles (2.0%) from prior close. Price has also retraced 50% from peak-to-trough.

P – VA High = 8696       P – VA Low = 7868         P – POC = 7922

Bull Scenario: IF Bulls hold bid above 8240, THEN initial upside estimate targets 8286 – 8303 zone.

Bear Scenario: IF Bears hold offer below 8240, THEN initial downside estimate targets 8190 – 8150 zone.

Range Projections and Key Levels (NQ) June 2020 (M) Contract

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 8368; LOD ATR Range Projection: 7882; 3 Day Central Pivot: 7659; 3 Day Cycle Target: 7815; 10 Day Average True Range: 386; VIX: 44

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN


Leave a Reply