Trade Strategy 5.4.17

Markets
 
The Fed kept interest rates on hold at its May meeting, but maintained expectations for further 2017 rate hikes. In a unanimous statement – the committee said it “views the slowing in growth during the first quarter as likely to be transitory” and believes the “fundamentals… remain solid.” The dollar pushed higher following the news, putting pressure on gold and oil.
 
In Asia, Japan closed. Hong Kong -0.1%. China -0.3%. India +0.8%.
In Europe, at midday, London +0.4%. Paris +1%. Frankfurt +0.8%.
Futures at 6:20, Dow +0.3%. S&P +0.3%. Nasdaq +0.3%. Crude -0.9% to $47.37. Gold +1.1% to $1235.
Ten-year Treasury Yield +3 bps to 2.34%

(Source: Seeking Alpha)

Economic Calendar 

7:30 Challenger Job-Cut Report
8:30 Initial Jobless Claims
8:30 Productivity and Costs
8:30 Gallup Good Jobs Rate
8:30 International Trade
9:45 Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index
10:00 Factory Orders
10:30 EIA Natural Gas Inventory
4:30 Money Supply
4:30 Fed Balance Sheet

PTG Trading

Price violated the 5 Day VAL (2378) but was unable to hold below, as such reversed back into range as late day buyers kept firm bid. This sets up a “buying spring” to test the 2392 handle.

Today is Cycle Day 3 (CD3)…Price has converted 2386 to new support with potential to test and possibly exceed 2392 handle. Should this unfold, upside target 2400 – 2403 zone.

Range Projections and Key Levels

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 2395.65; LOD ATR Range Projection: 2375.85; Cycle Day 1 Low: 2381.75; 3 Day Central Pivot: 2384.00; 3 Day Cycle Target: 2400.16; 10 Day Average True Range: 14.40

**Note: The odds highlighted are NOT predictions or trade recommendations, rather a guide based upon historical observed occurrences.

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Today’s Hypotheses: June 2017 (M) Contract

*****The levels outlined below are more general framework within a larger range…They are to be used are reference prices from which to consider trade opportunities, not hard trade levels.

Scenario 1:  IF price holds above 2386, THEN initial objective targets 2392 handle…Conversion of this level opens door to push for 2400.

Scenario 2:  Violation and conversion back below 2386 keeps price range bound targeting 2380 – 2378 zone.

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN


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