Trade Strategy 6.14.17

Markets
 
The Federal Reserve is widely expected to raise interest rates by a quarter point to a target range of 1%-1.25% when it concludes its policy meeting today. A hike would be the second this year, and the fourth of the cycle it began in December 2015. Markets are also focused on what the Fed will say about reducing its $4.5T balance sheet and when and how the process will begin.
 
In Asia, Japan -0.1%. Hong Kong +0.1%. China -0.7%. India +0.2%.
In Europe, at midday, London +0.6%. Paris +0.9%. Frankfurt +0.9%.
Futures at 6:20, Dow +0.1%. S&P +0.1%. Nasdaq +0.2%. Crude -1.1% to $45.95. Gold +0.1% to $1269.60.
Ten-year Treasury Yield -1 bps to 2.19%
 
(Source: Seeking Alpha)

Economic Calendar 

7:00 MBA Mortgage Applications
8:30 Consumer Price Index
8:30 Retail Sales
10:00 Business Inventories
10:30 EIA Petroleum Inventories
2:00 PM FOMC Announcement
2:00 PM FOMC Forecast

PTG Trading

Weekly Review and Preview can be viewed @ PTG Preview 6.12 – 6.16

S&P e-mini (ES) continues in rally-mode from last week’s low and is currently nearing all-time high in pre-cash trading, as Mr. Market awaits today’s FED expected 0.25 increase in Federal Funds Rate.

Today is Cycle Day 2 (CD2)…Strength begets strength as price closes in on 3 Day Average Cycle Target of 2442.50, with higher target zones measuring 2451 – 2457.

Range Projections and Key Levels

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 2448.50; LOD ATR Range Projection: 2427.80; Cycle Day 1 Low: 2425.25; 3 Day Central Pivot: 2429.00; 3 Day Cycle Target: 2442.50; 10 Day Average True Range: 13.45

**Note: The odds highlighted are NOT predictions or trade recommendations, rather a guide based upon historical observed occurrences.

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Today’s Hypotheses: September 2017 (U) Contract

*****The levels outlined below are more general framework within a larger range…They are to be used are reference prices from which to consider trade opportunities, not hard trade levels.

Scenario 1: IF price clears and converts 2439.25 (PH), THEN initial upside targets 2442.50, followed by measured layered levels between 2445.75 – 2457.

Scenario 2: IF price violates and converts 2435 (ONL), THEN lower levels measures 2429 3 Day Central Pivot Zone, followed by 2425.25 (CD1 Low)

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN