Trade Strategy 6.21.17

Markets
 
Crude fell into a bear market on Tuesday, sinking another 2.2% to settle at a nine-month low of $43.23/bbl. The big fear gripping the energy industry is that the world continues to have too much oil, despite a deal between OPEC and Russia to pump less. Game of chicken? The supply glut could be deepened by U.S. shale producers that have ramped up output in recent months.
 
In Asia, Japan -0.5%. Hong Kong -0.6%. China +0.5%. India flat.
In Europe, at midday, London -0.4%. Paris -0.8%. Frankfurt -0.5%.
Futures at 6:20, Dow flat. S&P -0.2%. Nasdaq -0.3%. Crude flat at $43.50. Gold +0.4% to $1248.
Ten-year Treasury Yield flat at 2.15%
 
(Source: Seeking Alpha)

Economic Calendar 

7:00 MBA Mortgage Applications
10:00 Existing Home Sales
10:30 EIA Petroleum Inventories

PTG Trading

Weekly Review and Preview can be viewed @ PTG Preview 6.19 – 6.23

Markets failed to expand beyond Monday’s high and as such declined to reach lower range parameter in both ES & NQ. Overnight trade prices have extend further to their respective violation levels from which a bounce has carried back into prior session range.

Today is Cycle Day 1 (CD1)…Normal is for a decline, which appears to have begun in prior session reaching lower violation levels. Price may retest the overnight violation lows for surety during cash session. 10 Day Average True Range has expanded out to 16.17.

Range Projections and Key Levels

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 2445.00; LOD ATR Range Projection: 2421.00; Cycle Day 1 Low: 2420.25; 3 Day Central Pivot: 2438.25; 3 Day Cycle Target: 2447.00; 10 Day Average True Range: 16.17

**Note: The odds highlighted are NOT predictions or trade recommendations, rather a guide based upon historical observed occurrences.

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Today’s Hypotheses: September 2017 (U) Contract

*****The levels outlined below are more general framework within a larger range…They are to be used are reference prices from which to consider trade opportunities, not hard trade levels.

Scenario 1: Price has reached CD1 Violation Level (2429) and has bounced back to PL (2434.00)…Bulls will need to absorb any additional selling on retest of this low and convert 2438 to upper support.

Scenario 2: Bears once again have an opening to press for lower levels which target 2421 handle. Deep range extreme measures 2417 – 2414 zone.

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN


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