Trade Strategy 7.22.20

Markets

Source: https://www.investing.com/indices/indices-cfds

Economic Calendar

10:00 Existing Home Sales
10:30 EIA Petroleum Inventories

Source: https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/

S&P 500 (ES)

***Written 8 pm Tuesday evening for Wednesday’s trading for contribution to Mr. TopStep’s Opening Print Publication.

Tuesday’s Session was Cycle Day 1 (CD1): Early price gap strength pushed price to CD1 Penetration Levels where resistance developed, stemming further advance. Consolidation was the theme on this day following a trend up, which capped the prior Positive 3 Day Cycle. Price did finally produce a decline (as expected on CD1) late in session. Range was 34 handles with 1.4M contracts exchanged.

Transition from Cycle Day 1 to Cycle Day 2

This leads us into Cycle Day 2 (CD2): Late day sell-down in the prior session established a CD1 Low (3239.25) before snapping back higher into settlement. We then have two scenarios to consider for today’s trading.

1.) Price sustains a bid above 3240, initially targeting 3255 – 3260 zone.

2.) Price sustains an offer below 3240, initially targeting 3235 – 3230 zone.

P -VA High = 3269       P – VA Low = 3255        P – POC = 3265

Range Projections and Key Levels (ES) September 2020 (U) Contract

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 3297; LOD ATR Range Projection: 3210; 3 Day Central Pivot: 3232; 3 Day Cycle Target: 3297; 10 Day Average True Range  48; VIX: 25

Nasdaq 100 (NQ)

Today is Cycle Day 2 (CD2) Price successfully tested Cycle Day 1 Low (10784.75) during GLOBEX Session and has rallied pre-RTH. We have two scenarios to consider for today’s trading:

P – VA High = 10953       P – VA Low = 10835         P – POC = 10900

Bull Scenario: IF Bulls sustain a bid above 10785, THEN initial upside estimate targets 10850 – 10900 zone.

Bear Scenario: IF Bears sustain an offer below 10785, THEN initial downside estimate targets 10710 – 10695 zone.

Range Projections and Key Levels (NQ) September 2020 (U) Contract

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 11096; LOD ATR Range Projection: 10630; 3 Day Central Pivot: 10775; 3 Day Cycle Target: 11126; 10 Day Average True Range: 253; VIX: 25

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN


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