Trade Strategy 7.27.17

Markets
 
It’s the busiest day of earnings season in the U.S., with several dozen companies reporting their latest quarterly results before and after the bell. Investors will get figures from the likes of ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP), Verizon (NYSE:VZ), Twitter (NYSE:TWTR) and Procter & Gamble (NYSE:PG), as well as Intel (NASDAQ:INTC), Starbucks (NASDAQ:SBUX) and Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN). U.S. markets are called higher, according to future values, following yesterday’s record closing highs.
 
In Asia, Japan +0.2%. Hong Kong +0.7%. China +0.1%. India flat. 
In Europe, at midday, London -0.1%. Paris +0.1%. Frankfurt -0.5%
Futures at 6:20, Dow +0.1%. S&P +0.2%. Nasdaq +0.6%. Crude +0.1% to $48.81. Gold +1% to $1262.20. 
Ten-year Treasury Yield +1 bps to 2.3%
 
(Source: Seeking Alpha)

Economic Calendar 

8:30 Durable Goods
8:30 International trade in goods
8:30 Initial Jobless Claims
8:30 Chicago Fed National Activity Index
9:45 Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index
10:30 EIA Natural Gas Inventory
11:00 Kansas City Fed Mfg Survey
1:00 PM Results of $28B, 7-Year Note Auction
4:30 PM Money Supply
4:30 PM Fed Balance Sheet

PTG Trading

Fleetwood Mac’s song entitled: “You Can Go You Own Way” comes to mind when comparing the trade action between S&P (ES) and NAZ (NQ)…With ES barely registering a pulse, while NQ is on it’s 15th day of rallying higher each session, totally out of sync with each other.

Today is Cycle Day 3 (CD3)…NQ has reached and exceeded it’s cycle penetration targets; ES still has room to play catch-up with a conversion of 2479 handle. Upside objective remains 2484. 10-day ATR registering a meager 9.68 handles while the VIX hit a record all-time low of 8.84. 

STAY NIMBLE and ALWAYS USE PROTECTIVE STOPS.

 Range Projections and Key Levels

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 2484.00; LOD ATR Range Projection: 2470.32; Cycle Day 1 Low: 2466.25; 3 Day Central Pivot: 2472.00; 3 Day Cycle Target: 2484.00; 10 Day Average True Range: 9.68

**Note: The odds highlighted are NOT predictions or trade recommendations, rather a guide based upon historical observed occurrences.

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Today’s Hypotheses: September 2017 (U) Contract

*****The levels outlined below are more general framework within a larger range…They are to be used are reference prices from which to consider trade opportunities, not hard trade levels.

Scenario 1:  IF price clears and converts 2479 to upper support, THEN upside objective measures 2484 3 Day Cycle Target, followed by 2490 – 92 zone.

Scenario 2:  IF price violates 2474, THEN downside measures 2470, followed by 2468 – 66 zone.

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN


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