Trade Strategy 7.28.17

Markets
 
One of the most important economic releases for July will be published this morning. Investors will be watching the preliminary estimate of second quarter GDP, which will indicate how well the economy bounced back from a lackluster 1.4% revised growth rate in Q1. 
 
In Asia, Japan -0.6%. Hong Kong -0.6%. China +0.1%. India -0.2%
In Europe, at midday, London -0.8%. Paris -1.3%. Frankfurt -0.7%
Futures at 6:20, Dow -0.2%. S&P -0.4%. Nasdaq -0.9%. Crude +0.1% to $49.11. Gold +0.4% to $1264.50. 
Ten-year Treasury Yield +2 bps to 2.33%
 
(Source: Seeking Alpha)

Economic Calendar 

8:30 GDP Q2
8:30 Employment Cost Index
10:00 Consumer Sentiment
1:00 PM Baker-Hughes Rig Count

PTG Trading

Failure to push above 2479 “key resistance” with subsequent break of 2474 as outlined in prior DTS Briefing 7.27.17 opened the door for a rare sharp mid-day selloff which reached 2461 cycle range target.

Today is Cycle Day 1 (CD1)…Average Decline which normally would be expected on CD1 occurred in prior CD3 session. This creates a scenario of testing 2461.50 low for surety. Failure to find a secure low at this level opens door for further decline targeting 2449.50.

STAY NIMBLE and ALWAYS USE PROTECTIVE STOPS.

 Range Projections and Key Levels

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 2472.73; LOD ATR Range Projection: 2460.22; Cycle Day 1 Low: 2466.25; 3 Day Central Pivot: 2473.00; 3 Day Cycle Target: 2479.85; 10 Day Average True Range: 11.23

**Note: The odds highlighted are NOT predictions or trade recommendations, rather a guide based upon historical observed occurrences.

Click Here

Today’s Hypotheses: September 2017 (U) Contract

*****The levels outlined below are more general framework within a larger range…They are to be used are reference prices from which to consider trade opportunities, not hard trade levels.

Scenario 1:  Price will need to clear and convert 2468 handle to have potential of a secure low at 2161.50. If converted to upper support, THEN upside retracement targets 2474.

Scenario 2:  Failure to convert 2468 with subsequent violation and conversion of PL (2461.50) to lower resistance, opens trap door for bears to push for 2449.50 handle.

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN


Leave a Reply