Trade Strategy 7.8.19

Markets

Stocks retreat

Friday’s jobs report, which showed American employers added a much-higher-than-expected 224K jobs to the economy last month, has triggered a broad re-pricing in markets around the world. Traders are now looking for a smaller July rate cut of 25 basis points, and perhaps only one more after that for 2019. Shares in Asia fell on the news, with the Shanghai Composite leading a retreat across the region by closing down 2.5%, while U.S. stock futures point to a modestly lower open. Dow and S&P are showing losses of 0.2%, while the Nasdaq is off by 0.4%.

In Asia, Japan -1%. Hong Kong -1.5%. China -2.6%. India -2%. 
In Europe, at midday, London -0.1%. Paris -0.3%. Frankfurt -0.3%. 
Futures at 6:20, Dow -0.2%. S&P -0.2%. Nasdaq -0.4%. Crude -0.1% to $57.47. Gold +0.5% to $1406.70. Bitcoin +6.3% to $11940. 
Ten-year Treasury Yield -1 bps to 2.03%

(Source: Seeking Alpha)  https://seekingalpha.com/

Economic Calendar

http://mam.econoday.com/

12:30 PMTD Ameritrade IMX
3:00 PMConsumer Credit

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S&P 500

Today is Cycle Day 3 …Following new all-time highs pre-holiday, buyers took a break as some expected profit-taking materialized in prior session. Currently in overnight trade price is stable trading near to daily pivot zone. Neutral Bias.

CD3 Range High = 3003.00          CD3 Range Low = 2971.00          CD3 Range Avg = 33.25

Scenario 1: IF Bulls hold bid above 2990, THEN upside targets 2995 – 3000 zone.

Scenario 2: IF Bears hold offer below 2990, THEN downside targets 2975 – 2970 zone.

Range Projections and Key Levels (ES) September (U) Contract

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 3000; LOD ATR Range Projection: 2973.00; Cycle Day 1 Low: 2997.25; 3 Day Central Pivot: 2994.00; 3 Day Cycle Target: 3025.00; 10 Day Average True Range 21.93; VIX: 13.89

Nasdaq 100 (NQ)

Today is Cycle Day 3…  Following new all-time highs pre-holiday, buyers took a break as some expected profit-taking materialized in prior session. Currently in overnight trade price is trading near to prior low. Neutral Bias.

CD3 Range High = 7866.00         CD3 Range Low = 7806.00          CD3 Range Avg = 110.50

Scenario 1: IF Bulls hold bid above 7822, THEN upside potential targets 7836 – 7856 zone..

Scenario 2: IF Bears hold offer below 7822, THEN downside targets 7805 – 7797 zone.

Range Projections and Key Levels (NQ) September (U) Contract

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 7886.00; LOD ATR Range Projection: 7785.00; Cycle Day 1 Low: 7881.25; 3 Day Central Pivot: 7873.00; 3 Day Cycle Target: 7950.00; 10 Day Average True Range: 77.89; VIX: 13.89

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN