Trade Strategy 8.1.17

Markets
 
Apple’s earnings come just as the tech sector has been looking a little weak in the knees, so its results could set the tone across markets, with investors positioning for the new month. The tech giant is expected to report a rise in third-quarter revenue, benefited by higher sales of smartphones, as well as strength in its services business. Details on the iPhone 8 (NASDAQ:AAPL) and its release date are also anticipated.
 
In Asia, Japan +0.3%. Hong Kong +0.8%. China +0.6%. India +0.2%
In Europe, at midday, London +0.6%. Paris +0.5%. Frankfurt +0.5%
Futures at 6:20, Dow +0.5%. S&P +0.3%. Nasdaq +0.4%. Crude -0.1% to $50.13. Gold -0.1% to $1272.10. 
Ten-year Treasury Yield flat at 2.3%
 
(Source: Seeking Alpha)

Economic Calendar 

8:30 Personal Income and Outlays
8:55 Redbook Chain Store Sales
9:45 PMI Manufacturing Index
10:00 ISM Manufacturing Index
10:00 Construction Spending
2:00 PM Gallup US ECI

PTG Trading

S&P e-mini (ES) gave up little ground in prior session as strength in the DJIA gave bid throughout the session. Price is slightly higher in overnight trade but still below PH (2475), which will need to be converted to upper support for higher prices.

Today is Cycle Day 3 (CD3)…There remains room to reach 2483.50 Cycle Target, though failure to convert PH (2475) to upper support with subsequent violation and conversion of 2466 handle to lower support shifts the dynamics in favor of the bears.

STAY NIMBLE and ALWAYS USE PROTECTIVE STOPS.

 Range Projections and Key Levels

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 2477.25; LOD ATR Range Projection: 2466.25; Cycle Day 1 Low: 2461.50; 3 Day Central Pivot: 2469.25; 3 Day Cycle Target: 2483.50; 10 Day Average True Range: 10.98

**Note: The odds highlighted are NOT predictions or trade recommendations, rather a guide based upon historical observed occurrences.

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Today’s Hypotheses: September 2017 (U) Contract

*****The levels outlined below are more general framework within a larger range…They are to be used are reference prices from which to consider trade opportunities, not hard trade levels.

Scenario 1:  IF price clears and converts PH (2475) to upper support, THEN upside expansion targets 2479, followed by 2482 – 84 zone.

Scenario 2:  IF price violates and converts 2466 to lower resistance, THEN downside projects 2461 – 59 zone.

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN


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