Trade Strategy 9.1.17

Markets
 
U.S. job growth likely slowed in August after two straight months of robust gains, but the pace of increase should be more than sufficient for the Fed to start shrinking its massive bond portfolio. Today’s non-farm payrolls report will probably show around 180,000 additions to the workforce, with average hourly earnings rising 0.2%, while the unemployment rate is expected to remain unchanged at 4.3%.
 
In Asia, Japan +0.3%. Hong Kong -0.1%. China +0.2%. India +0.5%
In Europe, at midday, London +0.2%. Paris +0.9%. Frankfurt +0.8%
Futures at 6:20, Dow +0.2%. S&P +0.2%. Nasdaq +0.2%. Crude -1.1% to $46.71. Gold +0.1% to $1323.80. 
Ten-year Treasury Yield +1 bps to 2.13%
 
(Source: Seeking Alpha)

Economic Calendar 

8:30 Non-farm payrolls
9:45 PMI Manufacturing Index
10:00 ISM Manufacturing Index
10:00 Construction Spending
10:00 Consumer Sentiment
1:00 PM Baker-Hughes Rig Count

PTG Trading

Nasdaq smashed up to new highs above 6000…S&P barreling higher achieving 3 Day Cycle Target (2473.00) on Cycle Day 1…Powerful! 

Today is Cycle Day 2 (CD2)…Bullish momentum intact as trading desks will be thinning out shortly after release of Employment Report. Upside cycle range projection measures 2483.50. Downside cycle range projection measures 2455.00.

STAY NIMBLE and ALWAYS USE PROTECTIVE STOPS.

Range Projections and Key Levels

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 2487.15; LOD ATR Range Projection: 2458.55; Cycle Day 1 Low: 2462.50; 3 Day Central Pivot: 2452.75; 3 Day Cycle Target: 2472.50; 10 Day Average True Range: 17.15; VIX: 10.30

**Note: The odds highlighted are NOT predictions or trade recommendations, rather a guide based upon historical observed occurrences.

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Today’s Hypotheses: September 2017 (U) Contract

*****The levels outlined below are more general framework within a larger range…They are to be used are reference prices from which to consider trade opportunities, not hard trade levels.

Scenario 1:  IF price clears and converts PH (2474.25), THEN upside targets 2483.50, followed by 2488.50.

Scenario 2:  IF price violates and convert 2466.00, THEN downside targets 2455.00, followed by 2453.00.

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN


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