Trade Strategy 8.9.22

Markets

Source: SeekingAlpha.com

Economic Calendar

10:00 Wholesale Inventories (Preliminary)
1:00 PM Results of $37B, 10-Year Bond Auction

https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/

***New: PTG Trading Room Chat Log’s Link

10:30 EIA Petroleum Inventories

S&P 500

***Written Tuesday evening for Wednesday’s trading for contribution to MrTopStep’s “The Opening Print” publication.

Prior Session was Cycle Day 1 (CD1): Shallow decline lead to bulls controlling the RTH Session, closing near daily highs. Range was 67 handles on 1.420M contracts exchanged. 

 …Transition from Cycle Day 1 to Cycle Day 2

This leads us into Cycle Day 2 (CD2): Bullish momentum may carry into today’s session, with the key upper range converting 4520 – 4525 zone. Failure to accomplish a sustained breakout out higher would potentially usher in a reversal back to the 5-day midpoint range (4495).  As such, estimated scenarios to consider for today’s trading.

1.) Price sustains bid above 4520, initially targets 4542 – 4552 zone. 

2.) Price sustains offer below 4520, initially targets 4508 – 4495 zone.

*****The 3 Day Cycle has a 91% probability of fulfilling Positive Cycle Statistics covering 12 years of recorded tracking history.

For more detailed information for both bullish and bearish projected targets, please visit: PTG 3 Day Cycle and/or reference the Cycle Spreadsheet below:

Link to access full Cycle Spreadsheet  > > Cycle Day 2 (CD2)

PVA High Edge = 4520       PVA Low Edge = 4478        Prior POC = 4512

Range Projections and Key Levels (ES) March 2022 (H) Contract

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 4622; LOD ATR Range Projection: 4449; 3 Day Central Pivot: 4492; 3 Day Cycle Target: 4492; 10 Day Average True Range  104; VIX: 20

Nasdaq 100 (NQ)

Today is Cycle Day 2 (CD2)…Price is extending this cycle’s rally pushing into CD3 upper Penetration Zone between 14937 – 15013 during overnight trade activity. Prior range was  309 handles on 604k contracts exchanged. As such, there are two estimated scenarios to consider for today’s trading.

Bull Scenario: IF Bulls sustains bid above 14805, THEN initial upside estimate targets 14937 – 15013 zone.

Bear Scenario: IF Bears sustains offer below 14805, THEN initial downside estimate targets 14770 – 14745 zone.

PVA High Edge = 14759       PVA Low Edge = 14555     Prior POC = 14688

Range Projections and Key Levels (NQ) March 2022 (H) Contract

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 15240; LOD ATR Range Projection: 14432; 3 Day Central Pivot: 14642; 3 Day Cycle Target: 14820; 10 Day Average True Range: 500; VIX: 20

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN


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