Trade Strategy 8.20.24

Markets

Source: Yahoo Finance

Economic Calendar 

 S&P 500

Prior Session was Cycle Day 2: Incredible trend continuation as price fulfilled 3 Day Cycle Target (5630) as well as marking the eighth (8th) consecutive “one time-framing” session.  Range was 66 handles on “Thin-to-Win” 1.063M contracts exchanged. 

Subscribers to the Three-Day Cycle were well prepared and profited from this day’s continuation trend.

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 …Transition from Cycle Day 2 to Cycle Day 3 

This leads us into Cycle Day 3Price has fulfilled 3 Day Cycle Target (5630), so anything further above this level is pure “gravy!” Bullish stampede carry’s on until main structure levels (5565 – 5570) below are violated and converted to resistance. Until then, the core plan is in-effect. So we’ll mark this session as a “wild-card”, as profit taking could unfold quickly, like a thief in the night, so be sure use proper risk management techniques.

You Know The Drill! Our discipline of maintaining positioning that is aligned with market forces continues to serve us well, so stay the course.

As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading.

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 5620 (VAH), initially targets 5640 – 5645 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 5620 (VAH), initially targets 5605 – 5595 zone.

PVA High Edge = 5620      PVA Low Edge = 5583         Prior POC = 5601

ES Chart

Nasdaq 100 (NQ)

Prior Session was Cycle Day 2: Continuation rally vaulted higher, exceeding primary cycle target levels and within reach of the 3 Day Cycle objective (19923).. Range was 346 handles on 424k contracts exchanged.

 …Transition from Cycle Day 2 to Cycle Day 3 

This leads us into Cycle Day 3: Bulls remain dominant and it is not prudent to attempt fate by picking tops. Momentum is firmly entrenched, though the rally is in it’s eighth (8th) consecutive day and is potentially vulnerable to profit-taking. Trailing stop management of longs is the easiest and most effective way to follow the trend to its end. New longs are not warranted until price can establish a new basing/balancing zone. The daily plan is simple but not always easy to follow. Mental discipline is a must.

You Know The Drill! Our discipline of maintaining positioning that is aligned with market forces continues to serve us well, so stay the course.

As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading.

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 19830, initially targets 19900 – 19923 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 19830, initially targets 19770 – 19720 zone.

PVA High Edge = 19692       PVA Low Edge = 19544        Prior POC = 19609

NQ Chart

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –BR

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN

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