Trade Strategy 2.20.25

S&P 500 (ES)

Prior Session was Cycle Day 3: Positive 3-Day Cycle as price held and traded above the CD1 Low (6131) during RTH, securing the 91% cycle statistic. Range for this session was 37 handles on 1.025M contracts exchanged.

FREE TRIAL link to PTG/Taylor Three Day Cycle

For a more detailed recap of the trading session, click on this link: Trading Room RECAP 2.19.25

 

Transition from Cycle Day 3 to Cycle Day 1

Transition into Cycle Day 1: This day begins a new cycle with expectation for a decline, to establish a secure cycle low from which to stage the next rally.

CD1 Average Range = 71 Average Decline = 59.50 

Odds of Decline > 10 = 79%  Odds of Decline > 20 = 56%

 

We’ll mark the 6150 as Line in the Sand (LIS) given price has been “coiling” with narrowing ranges, as markets transition from contraction to expansion. 

Give the current contractionary phase, we will monitor price action closely for clues of the next directional expansionary phase triggering.

Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.

PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.

As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading. 

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 6150+-, initially targets 6165 – 6170 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 6150+-, initially targets 6135 – 6130 zone.

PVA High Edge = 6165    PVA Low Edge = 6141         Prior POC = 6162

   ES (Profile)

Nasdaq (NQ)

Prior Session was Cycle Day 3: Positive 3-Day Cycle as price held and traded above the CD1 Low (22192.50) during RTH, securing the 91% cycle statistic. Range for this session was 181 handles on 491k contracts exchanged.

 

Transition from Cycle Day 3 to Cycle Day 1

Transition into Cycle Day 1: This day begins a new cycle with expectation for a decline, to establish a secure cycle low from which to stage the next rally.

CD1 Average Range = 370  Average Decline = 321 

Odds of Decline > 20 = 82%  Odds of Decline > 25 = 76%

We’ll mark the 22225 as Line in the Sand (LIS) given price has been “coiling” with narrowing ranges, as markets transition from contraction to expansion. 

Of course, nothing changes for PTG…Simply follow your plan. Take only Triple A setups and manage the $risk. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the exchange.

PTG’s Primary Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.

As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading. 

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 22215+-, initially targets 22280 – 22320 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 22215+-, initially targets 22140 – 22100 zone.

PVA High Edge = 22281     PVA Low Edge = 22194         Prior POC = 22216

NQ (Profile)

Economic Calendar

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –BR

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN

Comments are closed.