S&P 500 (ES)

🎯 Cycle Day 2 — Precision in Motion

Game Plan Levels: 6845 ±5

🔴 Bear Case Activated First

• 6822 ✔️ Fulfilled
Sellers pressed early. Bulls slipped on the soap above 6845.
Open Range shorts paid.

Then came the pivot…

For greater detail of how this day unfolded, click on the Trading Room RECAP 2.13.26 link.

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Cycle Day 3 – President’s Day Holiday Session

Light participation. Narrow intent. Clean structure.

With the Cash Market closed and Futures trading until 12:15 ET, we got exactly what holiday tape typically delivers — a balanced profile in thin liquidity.

Key Structure Notes:

• Resistance: Friday’s Midpoint held firmly

• Support: Responsive buying emerged at the Value Low

• Profile: Rotational, two-sided trade — no excess, no initiative conviction

In other words, inventory stayed orderly. No one was pressing size. No one was caught leaning too hard. Just quiet facilitation.

The most important takeaway isn’t the holiday chop — it’s the bigger statistical backdrop.

📊 Three-Day Cycle Statistic

The Positive Three-Day Cycle remains firm at 92.35% historically.

That’s the signal beneath the noise.

Holiday sessions are often positioning pauses — not thesis changes. When participation returns, structure matters far more than volume did today.

Translation:
Balanced trade into a statistically favorable cycle window keeps the constructive bias intact — unless proven otherwise.

Low drama. Clean levels. Edge preserved.

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🔄 Transition: Cycle Day 3 → Cycle Day 1

Reset. Reload. Re-engage.

Holiday nap? Over.
Now we lace ’em up.

A fresh Cycle Day 1 hits the board — and the edge slides right back to the traders who respect the rhythm instead of chasing the noise.

Last week?
Old, non-performing inventory got shown the exit door. No ceremony. Just liquidation. Clean house. Take out the trash. 🗑️

Then came the holiday time-out — a little market intermission while everyone recalibrated.

Now the real question:

Do traders step back in and reload at discounted prices…
—or—
do they pick up right where they left off and keep pressing the liquidation pedal?

That’s the fork in the road.

And here’s the spice:
Price is hovering near the lower end of the recent trading range.

Translation?

This isn’t a casual week.
This is a decision week.

Buyers have an opportunity.
Sellers have momentum.
Only one side gets paid.

Cycle Day 1 doesn’t reward hesitation.
It rewards conviction — and punishes tourists.

Game on.

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The Two Pillars of the PTG Trade Plan

1️⃣ Stay Aligned with the Dominant Force
Think current, not prediction.

When price structure establishes a support zone, we don’t argue—we align. Bias shifts to a long-lean, and we patiently stalk entries via Stackers or the first PB ATR / Discount.
When structure flips? Same process, opposite direction. No emotion. No hero trades. Just flow.

Picture a surfer:
You don’t fight the wave—you paddle, position, and let gravity do the work.

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2️⃣ Trade from Statistical Range Extremes
Welcome to the wabbit hunt 🐇

PKB entries inside the D-Level Money Box (DLMB) Zones live here. And let’s be clear—this is not counter-trend trading. This is timing.

When range values stretch too far, Market Makers don’t chase—they set traps. Stops get flushed. Liquidity gets harvested. Price snaps back like a rubber band.

This is reversionary trading inside range-type rhythms—
high accuracy, repeatable, and ruthless when executed correctly.

Cue the imagery:
Lights dim. Liquidity pools glow. Stops line up like dominos.
M&M’s smile. Click. Run the stops.

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The Toolbox Matters—But the Hand Using It Matters More

The PTG Trader Toolbox has everything (yes, even the weird wrench you didn’t know you needed).
Your job isn’t to use everything.
Your job is to master the right tools for your plan.

The PTG Member’s Area is stacked—dozens of educational videos, real trade examples, and market walkthroughs designed to compress learning curves and eliminate guesswork.

And when the chart gets loud?
PTGDavid is always in the room.
Guiding. Grounding. Keeping traders on the right side of structure and statistics.

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Cycle Day 1 isn’t about being right.
It’s about being ready.

Strap in. Manage risk.
And let volatility do what it does best. 💥📊

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   ESH

 

Nasdaq (NQ)

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…Transition from Cycle Day 3 to Cycle Day 1

Cycle Day 1: Decline Is the Feature, Not the Bug

Amazing how Mr. Market keeps running the same play… and folks still show up shocked like it’s a plot twist.

Let’s review the script:

Liquidate old inventory.
Renew lower-priced inventory.
Draw in the eager Shorts.
Let them puff their chest out.
Then rip it back up.
Trap the breakout Longs.
Then liquidate again.

Wash. Rinse. Repeat.

This isn’t chaos. It’s inventory transfer. It’s auction theory in a tailored suit.

With the NQ Three-Day Cycle targets fully satisfied, we flip the page and open a fresh Cycle Day 1 in the Nasdaq-100 futures arena. The prior cycle did its job. Boxes checked. Mission complete.

Now we reset the board.

And here’s the part that separates operators from spectators:

We don’t trade vibes.
We don’t trade headlines.
We don’t trade emotion.

We trade cycle dynamics.

Cycle Day 1 isn’t supposed to feel comfortable. It’s supposed to pressure weak inventory. It’s supposed to probe. It’s supposed to shake the tree.

Our job?

• Stay patient.

• Wait for structure.

• Let price advertise opportunity.

• Engage only when Triple-A setups step forward and raise their hand.

No hand raised?
No trade taken.

A sniper doesn’t fire because he’s bored.
He fires because conditions are met.

Cycle Day 1 is the reset.
Decline isn’t the bug. It’s the feature.

Professionals understand that.

Tourists learn it the expensive way.

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NQH 

Economic Calendar

 

 

 

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –BR

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN