Trade Strategy 4.4.18

Markets
 
 U.S. market futures are in the red amid escalating trade tensions between the U.S. and China. The Trump administration has imposed another $50B worth of 25% tariffs on China imports, to which China has responded with 25% tariffs on another 106 American products.
 
In Asia, Japan +0.13%. Hong Kong -2.19%. China -0.18%. India -1.14%
In Europe, at midday, London -0.43%. Paris -0.61%. Frankfurt -1.28%
Futures at 6:20, Dow -1.77%. S&P -1.36%. Nasdaq -1.79%. Crude -1.86%to $62.33. Gold +0.77% to $1,347.90. Bitcoin -4.05% to $7,060. 
Ten-year Treasury Yield -2 bps to 2.763%.
 
(Source: Seeking Alpha)
 

Economic Calendar

7:00 MBA Mortgage Applications
8:15 ADP Jobs Report
9:45 PMI Services Index
10:00 ISM Non-Manufacturing Index
10:00 Factory Orders
10:30 EIA Petroleum Inventories

S&P 500

Today is Cycle Day 2 (CD2)…Price is below CD1 Low and has fulfilled initial downside range target (2570.75) and CD1 Violation Level (2561.50). 

Scenario 1: Bulls MUST keep price from violating 2553 handle on a closing basis and push to get back above 2573.50 CD1 Low and recover 2595 handle.

Scenario 2: Bears have ball control now below 2595 handle and wanna push for CD1 Low violation targeting 2547 – 2539 zone.

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 2616.75; LOD ATR Range Projection: 2555.50; Cycle Day 1 Low: 2573.50; 3 Day Central Pivot: 2608.75; 3 Day Cycle Target: 2648.25; 10 Day Average True Range 57.22; VIX: 24.12

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Nasdaq 100 (NQ)

Today is Cycle Day 2 (CD2)…Price is below CD1 Low and has fulfilled initial downside range target (6341.50) and CD1 Violation Level (6326.25). 

Scenario 1: Bulls MUST push to get back above 6351.50 CD1 Low and recover 6424 handle.

Scenario 2: Bears have ball control now below 6424 handle and wanna push for CD1 Low violation targeting 6326.25 – 6287.00 zone.

Range Projections and Key Levels (NQ)

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 6497.27; LOD ATR Range Projection: 6278.98; Cycle Day 1 Low: 6351.25; 3 Day Central Pivot: 6482.25; 3 Day Cycle Target: 6588.50; 10 Day Average True Range: 190.52; VIX: 24.12.

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Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN


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