Trade Strategy 4.5.18

Markets
 
U.S. market futures were pointing to a fractionally higher open after Wednesday’s huge late-session turnaround rally, which saw stocks reverse sharply higher following the dour trade that had started the day. The Dow climbed more than 700 points from its session low, assisted by some short-covering activity that further accelerated the upward move in the major averages to their best marks of the day. 
 
In Asia, Japan +1.53%. Hong Kong closed. China closed. India +1.94%
In Europe, at midday, London +1.29%. Paris +1.75%. Frankfurt +1.81%
Futures at 6:20, Dow +0.28%. S&P +0.38%. Nasdaq +0.55%. Crude +0.08% to $63.42. Gold -0.72% to $1,330.60. Bitcoin -3.8% to $6,780. 
Ten-year Treasury Yield +3.3 bps tp 2.823%.
 
(Source: Seeking Alpha)
 

Economic Calendar

7:30 Challenger Job-Cut Report
8:30 Initial Jobless Claims
8:30 International Trade
9:45 Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index
10:30 EIA Natural Gas Inventory
4:30 PM Money Supply
4:30 PM Fed Balance Sheet

S&P 500

Today is Cycle Day 3 (CD3)…Cycle targets have been fulfilled and exceeded following perfect CD2 and Wyckoff Spring Reversal Day. In overnight trade price has reached CD3 projected range high 2666.25 and CD3 Penetration Level 2558.50. 

Scenario 1: IF price clears and converts PH (2649.75), THEN, upside targets 2666.25. (fulfilled in overnight trade).

Scenario 2: IF price violates and converts PH (2649.75) during RTH session, THEN downside targets 2640 – 35 zone.

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 2702.00; LOD ATR Range Projection: 2605.75; Cycle Day 1 Low: 2573.50; 3 Day Central Pivot: 2604.00; 3 Day Cycle Target: 2648.25; 10 Day Average True Range 61.09; VIX: 20.00

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Nasdaq 100 (NQ)

Today is Cycle Day 3 (CD3)…Cycle targets have been fulfilled and exceeded following perfect CD2 and Wyckoff Spring Reversal Day. In overnight trade price has reached CD3 projected range high 6624.50 and CD3 Penetration Level 6638.50. 

Scenario 1: IF price clears and converts PH (6591.75), THEN, upside targets 6638.50. (fulfilled in overnight trade).

Scenario 2: IF price violates and converts PH (6591.75) during RTH session, THEN downside targets 6560 – 6540 zone.

Range Projections and Key Levels (NQ)

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 6776.40; LOD ATR Range Projection: 6452.35; Cycle Day 1 Low: 6351.25; 3 Day Central Pivot: 6458.50; 3 Day Cycle Target: 6588.50; 10 Day Average True Range: 202.15; VIX: 20.00

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Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN


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