Polaris Trading Group Summary – Thursday, September 25, 2025

Polaris Trading Group Summary – Thursday, September 25, 2025

Overview:
Thursday delivered a tactical, technically clean session built on process discipline, timing precision, and level confluence. Both Manny and David guided the room through multiple high-probability setups around key zones like 6655 and 6625, with Manny’s “Clock” study proving to be the highlight educational tool of the day.


Key Levels & Setups:

  • 6655 Support Zone:
    Marked as a major support early by Manny, confirmed by David via multiple signals (Zero Gamma, CD2 Violation, Fib Cluster, Money Box, T3).
    Lesson: More confluence = stronger level.

  • Squeeze Attempt (6710–6715):
    Manny flagged potential for a push toward 6745, but failed reclaim of 6700–6705 invalidated it.

  • Clock Timing Windows:
    Manny’s Clock called the day beautifully:

    • 11:15–11:50 → LOW (on target)

    • 12:30–1:00 → HIGH pivot

    • 2:00–2:45 → LOW pivot (lined with A4 long off 6630)

    • 3:30 → Final HIGH pivot into the close
      Result: Textbook precision. Huge educational win.


Successful Trades & Highlights:

  • Morning Short: Breakdown through 6655 → continuation to 6646. OR Targets 1 & 2 hit.
    Lesson: Short setups work when bulls can’t reclaim 6700.

  • Late Morning Long: At the 11:30 pivot, Manny rode a reclaim from 6660 → 6700+ → 6760.

    • Entry: A10 trigger.

    • Outcome: +40 points.

    • Quote: “Not every day we nail a 40-pointer.”

  • Afternoon Cycle Play:

    • Short at 6662 into the 2:30 LOW window.

    • Buyback 6630–6631 reclaim.

    • David: “D-Level 6625 proved itself.”

    • Textbook Cycle Day 2: tag violation → recover.


Educational Insights:

  • Process > Profits: Success came from structure alignment, not chasing.

  • Clock Study: Provided exact timing precision; Manny to expand in future sessions.

  • Adding to Winners: Discussion on scaling, emotional discipline, and knowing when to stop pressing.
    “Why press it? Enjoy the W.”

  • Community Learning: John B’s note-taking process was spotlighted as an example of building confidence through journaling.


Challenges & Observations:

  • Bulls failed reclaim attempts at 6700. Best try at 11:35 faded.

  • No SPX gap fill after 12:30—read as bearish nuance.

  • Heavy volume = tough middle trades. Patience was key.


Closing Notes:
Despite a $730M MOC sell imbalance, ES closed with a firm bid in Mid-VWAP, right in line with the 3:30 Clock high pivot.

Takeaways:

  • Trust preparation → confidence follows.

  • Clock timing added exceptional edge.

  • Manny’s 40-pointer underscored the value of structure + signal + timing.

  • Consistency, journaling, and restraint keep traders sharp.

  • Don’t overtrade—step aside after banking the win.

Verdict: Another strong day for PTG—precise execution, disciplined process, and standout community learning.

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