Trade Strategy 1.18.24

Markets (Top Stories)

Source: seekingalpha.com

Economic Calendar 

https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/

S&P 500

Prior Session was Cycle Day 3 (CD3):  Failed 3-Day Cycle as price could not recover the CD1 Low (4806) as sellers continued to dominate the trading landscape, driving price to 4748 ATR (10) Target. Prior range was 54 handles on 1.599M contracts exchanged. 

Note: You can view daily ATR Levels at: https://polaristradinggroup.com/daily-range-calculator/

 …Transition from Cycle Day 3 to Cycle Day 1

This leads us into Cycle Day 1 (CD1): Average Decline measures 4766.50, which has been fulfilled during prior session. Today, we will be looking for renewed buy response on any back test of prior low zone. Bulls will need to crack the 4775 ceiling level at minimum and maintain a stabilized bid to squelch the recent selling sentiment. As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading.

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 4775, initially targets 4790 – 4795 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 4775, initially targets 4755 – 4750 zone.

PVA High Edge = 4774       PVA Low Edge = 4760        Prior POC = 4765

Range Projections and Key Levels (ES) March 2024 (H) Contract

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 4817; LOD ATR Range Projection: 4718; 3 Day Central Pivot: 4795; 3 Day Cycle Target: 4837; 10 Day Average True Range  52; VIX: 14

Nasdaq 100 (NQ)

Prior Session was Cycle Day 3 (CD3):  Failed 3-Day Cycle as price could not recover the CD1 Low (16936) as sellers continued to dominate the trading landscape. Prior range was 292 handles on 705k contracts exchanged. 

Note: You can view daily ATR Levels at: https://polaristradinggroup.com/daily-range-calculator/

 …Transition from Cycle Day 3 to Cycle Day 1

This leads us into Cycle Day 1 (CD1): Average Decline measures 16812, which has been fulfilled during prior session. Bulls will need to maintain a stabilized bid to squelch the recent selling sentiment. As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading.

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 16870, initially targets 16920 – 16950 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 16870, initially targets 16760 – 16740 zone.

PVA High Edge = 16841       PVA Low Edge = 16734     Prior POC = 16809

Range Projections and Key Levels (NQ) March 2024 (H) Contract

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 17077; LOD ATR Range Projection: 16623; 3 Day Central Pivot: 16920; 3 Day Cycle Target: 17156; 10 Day Average True Range: 243; VIX: 14

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN

Comments are closed.