Concerns over economic fallout from resurging coronavirus infections, as well as dwindling hopes for U.S. fiscal stimulus, weighed on stocks around the globe overnight
8:30 Initial Jobless Claims
8:30 Philly Fed Business Outlook
8:30 Empire State Mfg Survey
8:30 Import/Export Prices
9:00 Fed’s Bostic Speech
10:30 EIA Natural Gas Inventory
11:00 EIA Petroleum Inventories
On the data front, the latest weekly jobless claims numbers will be released this morning, with another 825,000 Americans are expected to have filed for first-time unemployment insurance.
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Prior Session was Cycle Day 2 (CD2): Failed rally attempt resulted in continued selling, driving price past CD1 Low (3491.50) down to cycle violation levels. Range was 48.25 handles on 1.248M contracts exchanged.
…Transition from Cycle Day 2 to Cycle Day 3
This leads us into Cycle Day 3 (CD3): Price is currently trading down an additional 40 plus handles testing 3440 10-day ema support. Odds (91%) typically favor recovering CD1 Low (3491.50), though it appears a long stretch for today. As such, there are two scenarios to consider for today’s trading.
1.) Price sustains a bid above 3445, initially targeting 3455 – 3460 zone.
2.) Price sustains an offer below 3445, initially targeting 3435 – 3427 zone.
*****3 Day Cycle has a 91% probability of fulfilling Positive Statistic covering 12 years of recorded tracking history.
PVA High Edge = 3505 PVA Low Edge = 3472 Prior POC = 3480
Range Projections and Key Levels (ES) December 2020 (Z) Contract
HOD ATR Range Projection: 3486; LOD ATR Range Projection: 3434; 3 Day Central Pivot: 3504; 3 Day Cycle Target: 3524; 10 Day Average True Range 53; VIX: 28
Nasdaq 100 (NQ)
Today is Cycle Day 3 (CD3)…Price is currently trading down 247 handles, matching the 10-day average true range. As such, there are two scenarios to consider for today’s trading:
PVA High Edge = 12086 PVA Low Edge = 11910 Prior POC = 11947
Bull Scenario: IF Bulls sustain a bid above 11800, THEN initial upside estimate targets 11860 – 11890 zone.
Bear Scenario: IF Bears sustain an offer below 11800, THEN initial downside estimate targets 11765 – 11740 zone.
Range Projections and Key Levels (NQ) December 2020 (Z) Contract
HOD ATR Range Projection: 11987; LOD ATR Range Projection: 11732; 3 Day Central Pivot: 11530; 3 Day Cycle Target: 12048; 10 Day Average True Range: 250; VIX: 24
Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.
Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined ALWAYS USE STOPS!
“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee
*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”
PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS
IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.
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CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN