Trade Strategy 10.7.21

Markets

As it looked like the U.S. was moving closer to a default on Wednesday, all 11 sectors of the S&P 500 were flashing red. However, as soon as top Senate Republicans proposed the short-term debt limit extension, the major indexes turned around to close the day in the green.

Source: SeekingAlpha.com

Economic Calendar

8:30 Initial Jobless Claims
10:30 EIA Natural Gas Inventory
3:00 PM Consumer Credit
4:30 PM Fed Balance Sheet
4:30 PM Money Supply

https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/

***New: PTG Trading Room Chat Log’s Link

S&P 500

Prior Session was Cycle Day 3 (CD3): Early successful test of support (4280) as outlined in DTS 10.6.21 “Price sustains an offer below 4300, initially targets 4285 – 4280 zone.” set the stage for session rally, closing near high of day. Range was 84 handles on 2.142M contracts exchanged.  

 …Transition from Cycle Day 3 to Cycle Day 1

This leads us into Cycle Day 1 (CD1): Normal for CD1 is for a decline, with average measuring 4312, but bulls are continuing yesterday’s rally during overnight trade and into RTH Session. As such, estimated scenarios to consider for today’s trading.

1.) Price sustains a bid above 4380, initially targets 4400 – 4406 zone. 

2.) Price sustains an offer below 4380, initially targets 4365 – 4360 zone. 

*****3 Day Cycle has a 91% probability of fulfilling Positive Cycle Statistics covering 12 years of recorded tracking history.

PVA High Edge = 4319       PVA Low Edge = 4279         Prior POC = 4301

Range Projections and Key Levels (ES) December 2021 (Z) Contract

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 4434; LOD ATR Range Projection: 4333; 3 Day Central Pivot: 4319; 3 Day Cycle Target: 4406; 10 Day Average True Range;  65; VIX: 20

Nasdaq 100 (NQ)

Today is Cycle Day 1 (CD1)…NQ is also extending yesterday’s rally pushing well above prior high and fulfilling range extension objectives during overnight trade. Prior range was 348 handles on 752k contracts exchanged. As such, there are two estimated scenarios to consider for today’s trading.

PVA High Edge = 14675       PVA Low Edge = 14498      Prior POC = 14608

Bull Scenario: IF Bulls sustain a bid above 14890, THEN initial upside estimate targets 14960 – 14973 zone.

Bear Scenario: IF Bears sustain an offer below 14890, THEN initial downside estimate targets 14847 – 14820 zone.

Range Projections and Key Levels (NQ) December 2021 (Z) Contract

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 15034; LOD ATR Range Projection: 14684; 3 Day Central Pivot: 14608; 3 Day Cycle Target: 14973; 10 Day Average True Range: 267; VIX: 20

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN


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