Trade Strategy 11.28.17

Markets
 
 In Asia, Japan flat. Hong Kong flat. China +0.3%. India -0.3%
In Europe, at midday, London +0.6%. Paris +0.6%. Frankfurt +0.3%
Futures at 6:20, Dow -0.1%. S&P +0.1%. Nasdaq +0.1%. Crude -0.6% to $57.75. Gold -0.1% to $1293.80. Bitcoin +1.8% to $9918. 
Ten-year Treasury Yield flat at 2.33%
   
(Source: Seeking Alpha)

Economic Calendar

8:30 International trade in goods
8:55 Redbook Chain Store Sales
9:00 FHFA House Price Index
9:00 S&P Corelogic Case-Shiller Home Price Index
9:15 Fed’s Dudley: “Evolving Structure of the U.S. Treasury Market”
10:00 Consumer Confidence
10:00 Richmond Fed Mfg.
10:00 State Street Investor Confidence Index
10:00 Fed’s Powell speech
1:00 PM Results of $28B, 7-Year Note Auction
2:00 PM Gallup US ECI

S&P 500 (ES)

Today is Cycle Day 1 (CD1)…Normal is for some magnitude decline with average measuring 2592.00. Price did decline in prior session and has found support within 3 Day Central Pivot Zone (2598 – 2599) and has rallied to prior high (2605.50). Further strength above this level expands targets to 2609 – 10 handle.

Nasdaq 100 (NQ)

NAZ found support at 6396 in prior session and has also rallied in overnight trade action within striking distance of prior high (6424.50). Further strength targets 6439, while violation of 6394.75 opens door to 6382 – 80 zone.

Range Projections and Key Levels (ES)

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 2609.65; LOD ATR Range Projection: 2593.10; Cycle Day 1 Low: 2589.50 3 Day Central Pivot: 2598.50; 3 Day Cycle Target: 2617.00; 10 Day Average True Range: 15.50; VIX: 9.67

**Note: The odds highlighted are NOT predictions or trade recommendations, rather a guide based upon historical observed occurrences.

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Today’s Hypotheses: December 2017 (ESZ) Contract

*****The levels outlined below are more general framework within a larger range…They are to be used are reference prices from which to consider trade opportunities, not hard trade levels.

Scenario 1:  IF price clears and converts PH (2605.50), THEN upside targets 2609 – 10 penetration zone.

Scenario 2:  IF price violates and converts 2598 to lower resistance, THEN downside targets 2593 – 92 CD1 average decline.

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN


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