Trade Strategy 12.11.23

Markets (Top Stories)

Source: SeekingAlpha.com

Economic Calendar

https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/

S&P 500

Prior Session was Cycle Day 1 (CD1):  Normal CD1 as price declined and established a new cycle low at 4561.75 (Z).  Prior range was 52 handles on 1.424M contracts exchanged. 

 …Transition from Cycle Day 1 to Cycle Day 2

This leads us into Cycle Day 2 (CD2): Normal for CD2 is for two-way traffic as price is pressing the upper edge of the multi-day composite consolidation range. As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading.

NOTE: Contract Rollover to March (H) 2024 (52 point premium)

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 4660, initially targets 4670 – 4675 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 4660, initially targets 4645 – 4640 zone.

PVA High Edge = 4610       PVA Low Edge = 4588         Prior POC = 4608

Range Projections and Key Levels (ES) March 2024 (H) Contract

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 4698; LOD ATR Range Projection: 4626; 3 Day Central Pivot: 4580; 3 Day Cycle Target: 4690; 10 Day Average True Range  39; VIX: 12

Nasdaq 100 (NQ)

Prior Session was Cycle Day 1 (CD1):  Normal CD1 as price declined and established a new cycle low at 15888.25 (Z).  Prior range was 230 handles on 525k contracts exchanged. 

 …Transition from Cycle Day 1 to Cycle Day 2

This leads us into Cycle Day 2 (CD2): Normal for CD2 is for two-way traffic as price is pressing the upper edge of the multi-day composite consolidation range. As such, scenarios to consider for today’s trading.

NOTE: Contract Rollover to March (H) 2024 (210 point premium)

Bull Scenario: Price sustains a bid above 16300, initially targets 16355 – 16375 zone. 

Bear Scenario: Price sustains an offer below 16300, initially targets 16240 – 16220 zone.

PVA High Edge = 16110       PVA Low Edge = 16013     Prior POC = 16100

Range Projections and Key Levels (NQ) March 2024 (H) Contract

HOD  ATR Range Projection: 16488; LOD ATR Range Projection: 16108; 3 Day Central Pivot: 15959; 3 Day Cycle Target: 16513; 10 Day Average True Range: 214; VIX: 12

Trade Strategy: Our tactical trade strategy will simply remain unaltered…We’ll be flexible to trade both long and short side from Decision Pivot Levels. Continue to focus on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Discounts. As always, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day force increases probabilities of producing winning trades.

Stay Focused…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Trading…David

“Knowing is not enough, We must APPLY. Willing is not enough, We must DO.” –Bruce Lee

*****This trade strategy report is disseminated for “education only” and should not be viewed in any way as a recommendation to buy or sell futures products.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is substantial risk of loss associated with trading securities and options on equities. Only risk capital should be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitable for everyone.

Disclaimer: Futures, Options, and Currency trading all have large potential rewards, but they also have large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in these markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.

This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, options, or currencies. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN

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